Two of the hottest teams in the league meet in Las Vegas, and the betting market is tighter than the records suggest. The Minnesota Lynx arrive at 10-2 on an eight-game winning streak, yet they walk in as road underdogs. The host Las Vegas Aces sit at 9-3 and ride a five-game run of their own. The line lands at Aces -2.5, so this game is close to a coin flip. Our lean leans to the visitors, and the value tells the story.
Last Updated: Saturday, June 13, 2026
MINNESOTA LYNX VS LAS VEGAS ACES JUNE 13, TIME & HOW TO WATCH | |
|---|---|
| Where | Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV |
| When | Saturday, June 13 – 8:00 PM ET |
| TV | CBS (stream on Paramount+) |
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Game Preview
This is a Commissioner's Cup showdown with real stakes. Both teams enter 4-0 in group play, and the winner becomes the favorite to represent the Western Conference in the Commissioner's Cup title game on June 30. So this is more than a regular June date. It is a measuring-stick night between the league's two best.
Minnesota owns the better résumé right now. The Lynx lead the league at 10-2 and sit No. 1 in the WNBA power rankings. Their eight-game winning streak has come by an average margin near 19 points. That is dominance, and it has traveled well. They have built this run with depth and defense rather than one star carrying the load.
That depth matters because Napheesa Collier remains out after left ankle surgery. The key point is simple. Minnesota has gone 10-2 without her. The line and rotation are already built around her absence, so this is not a fresh injury blow. Las Vegas, meanwhile, has its full firepower. A'ja Wilson is playing at an MVP level, averaging 26.4 points and 9.3 rebounds. She poured in 32 points in a recent win for her second straight 30-point game. Chelsea Gray runs the offense and gives the Aces a steady postseason-tested hand.
MINNESOTA LYNX VS LAS VEGAS ACES ODDS | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
| Minnesota Lynx | +2.5 (-110) | +120 | U 174.0 (-110) |
| Las Vegas Aces | -2.5 (-110) | -140 | O 174.0 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of June 13, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds - Futures - Props
MINNESOTA LYNX VS LAS VEGAS ACES WHO IS THE PUBLIC BETTING? | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | 69% | 31% | Las Vegas Aces |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
ATS Pick — Minnesota Lynx +2.5
The Pick: Minnesota Lynx +2.5 (-110)
The math favors the points here. Minnesota is the team playing better basketball, and it is getting a field goal of cushion on the road. An eight-game streak built on roughly a 19-point average margin is not a fluke. The Lynx defend, share the ball, and have proven they can win away from home. Against a number this small, the better current team is the side to back. The public agrees, with 69% of spread bets landing on Minnesota.
However, the case against the Lynx is real, and we will not dress it up. Las Vegas is home, rested, and dangerous. A'ja Wilson is the best player on the floor, and back-to-back 30-point games show she can take over. There is also a market warning sign. Despite heavy public support for Minnesota, the line has held at Aces -2.5 rather than moving toward the Lynx. That kind of resistance often signals sharper money on the home favorite. Still, getting the hotter team plus the hook is a fair price, so we will take the points.
Total Pick — Over 174.0
The Pick: Over 174.0 (-110)
Two efficient offenses meet here, and the total has already ticked up. The number opened at 173.5 and climbed to 174.0, which tells us the market expects points. Minnesota has been scoring in bunches during its streak. Las Vegas leans on Wilson, who is filling the box score nightly. When both teams can score in the high 80s, the Over has a clear path.
On the other hand, Commissioner's Cup games can tighten up. Stakes rise, possessions slow, and both of these teams defend at a high level. A grind-it-out night in the low 80s for each side would land this on the Under. Meanwhile, the small move off the opener leaves limited margin. We still side with the Over, but a defensive slugfest is the risk.
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
The bonus angle lives on the moneyline. If you believe in the streak, Minnesota Lynx +120 offers plus-money value on the team with the better record and the longer winning run. A 10-2 club riding eight straight should not be a road underdog by much, and +120 pays well if the Lynx simply win outright. The risk is straightforward. You give up the 2.5-point safety net, and Wilson at home can swing a close game late.
To recap, this is a near coin-flip between two contenders, and we lean toward the visitors on value. Here are the picks: Minnesota Lynx +2.5 (-110), Over 174.0 (-110), and Minnesota Lynx +120 on the moneyline. Bet responsibly and shop for the best number before tip-off.
WNBA Lynx vs. Aces Prediction FAQ
What time does the Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces game start?
The game tips off Saturday, June 13, 2026, at 8:00 p.m. ET at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas.
What channel is the Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces game on?
The game airs nationally on CBS, with streaming available on Paramount+.
Who is favored in the Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces game?
Las Vegas is the home favorite at -2.5. Minnesota is the underdog at +2.5 with a +120 moneyline.
Is Napheesa Collier playing for the Lynx?
No. Collier remains out as she recovers from left ankle surgery, and Minnesota has played its entire 10-2 start without her.
Where is the Lynx vs. Aces game being played?
The game is at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, where the Aces host the Lynx in a Commissioner's Cup matchup.
For more coverage, see our Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm prediction and our latest WNBA best bets.