The Chicago Sky visit the Indiana Fever on Thursday night, and the home side opens as a clear favorite. Indiana sits at -9.5 on the spread, a steep number for an Eastern Conference clash this early in the season. The Fever arrive with momentum after Caitlin Clark's last-second three sank Washington. Chicago, meanwhile, comes in shorthanded and searching for traction. Below we break down the line, the total, and where the value sits before tip-off. Our lead pick leans into Indiana's home form, yet the case for the points is sharper than the standings suggest.
Last Updated: Thursday, June 11, 2026
CHICAGO SKY VS INDIANA FEVER DATE, TIME & HOW TO WATCH | |
|---|---|
| Where | Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN |
| When | Thursday, June 11 – 7:00 PM ET |
| TV | Amazon Prime Video (WTHR-13 and Fever Direct locally) |
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Game Preview
Indiana enters at 6-5 and has settled into the upper half of the standings. The Fever earned their last win 78-76 over Washington, capped by Caitlin Clark's last-second go-ahead three-pointer. Clark finished with 19 points and five assists, while Aliyah Boston added 14 points and 10 rebounds. Veteran guard Kelsey Mitchell remains the engine, leading the team at roughly 20.5 points per game on 46.3% shooting. As a group, Indiana averages 88.2 points and ranks among the league's better offenses.
Chicago sits at 4-8 and has been swimming upstream. The Sky dropped their most recent game 82-75 at home to Atlanta, with Natasha Cloud leading the way at 18 points. More importantly, Chicago is missing several rotation pieces. Courtney Vandersloot remains out after right knee surgery, DiJonai Carrington is sidelined with a foot issue, and Rickea Jackson is done for the year with a torn ACL, per Chicago's injury report. Bigs Kamilla Cardoso and Azurá Stevens still give the Sky a defensive backbone, though the lost perimeter creation hurts.
This is the first meeting between the teams in 2026. The recent history favors Indiana, which swept all five matchups in the 2025 season series. Still, Chicago has shown some road resilience, as three of its four wins this year came away from home. For context on each side's recent trajectory, see our June 8 Fever prediction and our June 9 Sky prediction.
CHICAGO SKY VS INDIANA FEVER ODDS | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
| Chicago Sky | +9.5 (-110) | +340 | U 172 (-110) |
| Indiana Fever | -9.5 (-110) | -460 | O 172 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of June 11, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds - Futures - Props
CHICAGO SKY VS INDIANA FEVER WHO IS THE PUBLIC BETTING? | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 83% | 17% | Indiana Fever |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
ATS Pick — Indiana Fever -9.5
The Pick: Indiana Fever -9.5 (-110)
The public is leaning hard the other way here. According to the splits, 83% of spread tickets sit on Chicago getting the points, while only 17% back Indiana to cover. That kind of lopsided action on a road underdog often signals recreational money chasing a big number. We prefer the less crowded side. Indiana has been notably better at home, and its offense ranks among the league's most productive at 88.2 points per game.
The matchup tilts toward the Fever on paper. Chicago is missing Vandersloot and Carrington on the perimeter, which thins its shot creation against a fast Indiana backcourt. The Sky also enter on a clear downturn, and Indiana swept the 2025 series. With Clark setting the pace and Mitchell scoring in bunches, the Fever have the firepower to build a comfortable lead at home.
The case against is real, however. A 9.5-point spread is a heavy lift in the WNBA, where margins compress and one cold shooting quarter can erase a double-digit edge. Chicago has covered as a road team before, and its frontcourt can slow the game down. If Clark's recent shooting dip continues, the Fever may win without covering. We still lean Indiana, but this is a moderate-confidence play, not a heavy one.
Total Pick — Under 172
The Pick: Under 172 (-110)
The total opened at 171.5 and ticked up to 172, so the market expects a moderately paced game. We side with the Under. Chicago plays at a slower tempo and has leaned on its defense, ranking near the top of the league in blocks behind Cardoso and Stevens. With Vandersloot and Carrington out, the Sky's scoring punch is reduced, and their offense has averaged in the low 80s. A depleted attack rarely fuels a shootout.
There is a path to the Over, of course. Indiana scores at a high clip at home, and Clark pushes the pace whenever she controls the ball. If the Fever get out in transition and the threes fall, the total could clear with room to spare. On balance, though, Chicago's grind-it-out style and a possible second-half lull in a lopsided game point toward fewer combined points. We favor the Under at 172.
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
For bettors eyeing the moneyline, Indiana is priced at -460. That implies roughly an 82% win probability, which leaves little value even with the matchup edge. The smarter route is the spread, where you are paid standard juice to back the same outcome. Chicago's +340 is a longshot dart given the injuries, so we pass on the moneyline both ways.
If the Sky hang around early and Indiana's bench takes over with a lead, a live look at Chicago could appeal to in-game bettors. That is a situational note, not a pre-game play. Our two recommended bets stand on their own.
To recap the card: we like Indiana Fever -9.5 (-110) on the spread and the Under 172 (-110) on the total. Both lean on Chicago's depleted roster and Indiana's home edge, balanced against the risk that a big number and tight WNBA margins create.
WNBA Sky vs. Fever Prediction FAQ
What time does the Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever game start?
The game tips off at 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, June 11, 2026, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.
What channel is the Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever game on?
The game streams nationally on Amazon Prime Video, with local coverage on WTHR-13 and Fever Direct.
Who is favored in the Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever game?
Indiana is a 9.5-point home favorite. The Fever are listed at -460 on the moneyline, while Chicago comes back at +340.
Who won the last meeting between the Chicago Sky and Indiana Fever?
Indiana won every meeting in the 2025 season series, sweeping all five games against Chicago.
Is Courtney Vandersloot playing for the Chicago Sky?
No. Vandersloot remains out as she recovers from right knee surgery. DiJonai Carrington (foot) and Rickea Jackson (torn ACL) are also sidelined.