NBA Playoff Predictions May 28: Can OKC close out San Antonio?

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Thursday has 1 game on the NBA slate as the final full week of May 2026 marches on. It's Game 6 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs in the conference final round of the NBA Playoffs. Oklahoma City leads the series 3-2.

Can the Spurs cover the 3.5-point spread as home favorites and even up the series at 3-3? Will both teams combine to score enough to go over the total of 219.5 points?

I'll make picks for the spread and total below. Read on for our NBA Playoff Predictions May 28 article.

THUNDER VS SPURS DATE, TIME & HOW TO WATCH

WhereFROST BANK CENTER, SAN ANTONIO, TX
WhenTHURSDAY, MAY 28, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
TVNBC AND PEACOCK

THUNDER VS SPURS ODDS

SpreadMoneylineTotal
THUNDER3.5 (-110)+135U 219.5 (-110)
SPURS-3.5 (-110)-160O 219.5 (-110)

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THUNDER VS SPURS WHO IS THE PUBLIC BETTING?

THUNDER44%56%SPURS

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Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs Game 6 Spread Prediction

The San Antonio Spurs are well-equipped to cover the 3.5-point spread against the Oklahoma City Thunder in Thursday's Game 6 of the Western Conference Finals. They have some crucial situational advantages heading into the contest.

San Antonio rebounds relentlessly, boasting an elite 18-8 ATS record after a loss this year. They protect their home court well, holding a profitable 25-20-1 ATS mark as a home favorite in 2025-26. Quick turnarounds rarely slow the team down, as the Spurs carry a 31-27-2 ATS record when playing on 1 day of rest this season.

Furthermore, the Spurs excel against familiar foes, logging a 37-30-1 ATS record in conference games this season. And finally, San Antonio holds a stellar 10-6 ATS mark in playoff games this year. Expect San Antonio to leverage these distinct advantages, secure the cover, and force a Game 7 on Saturday.

Pick: San Antonio Spurs -3.5

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs Game 6 Total Prediction

Thursday's Game 6 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs is primed to eclipse the 219.5-point total as both offenses look to sustain their high-scoring ways in these playoffs.

A potential shootout awaits, with the over sitting at 6-3 across the last 9 meetings between these 2 teams. Oklahoma City consistently pushes the pace, as the over is 10-3 in their playoff games and 41-33 in the Thunder's games after a win this season.

OKC also smashes expectations when listed as a road underdog, as the over is 4-1 when they are catching points on the road this year. Furthermore, short rest fuels the Thunder's attack, as the over is 33-24 when OKC is playing on 1 day of rest this season.

San Antonio matches this intensity, as the over is 10-6 in the Spurs' postseason contests this year. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 games between the Thunder and Spurs, I think it's a good bet to go to 6-1 on Thursday night.

Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Over 219.5

Today's NBA Playoff Predictions

  1. San Antonio Spurs -3.5
  2. Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Over 219.5
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