Red Wings vs. Flyers UNDER 6 Goals (7:00PM)

This matchup sets up as a low-event, grind-it-out game.

Detroit has been at its best when playing structured hockey, limiting mistakes, and avoiding high-risk situations. They’re not a team that thrives in wide-open play, especially on the road, and will look to slow things down early.

Philadelphia brings a similar identity. They’ve leaned heavily into defensive responsibility and physical play, particularly in meaningful late-season games. When facing teams like Detroit, they’re comfortable turning games into tight, low-scoring battles.

The biggest factor here is pace—neither team is likely to push aggressively unless forced to, and both are content playing along the boards and in the neutral zone.

With a total of 6, this projects closer to a 3-2 or 2-1 type of game.

Pick: UNDER 6 goals

Canadiens vs. Rangers OVER 6.5 Goals (7:00PM)

This is one of the best over spots on the board.

The Rangers bring high-end offensive talent and pace, especially at home, where they’re more aggressive and willing to trade chances. Their ability to generate scoring opportunities off the rush makes them a constant threat to push totals higher.

Montreal has also shown a willingness to play in higher-event games, particularly against stronger opponents. While competitive, their defensive structure can break down when facing speed and skill—exactly what the Rangers bring.

The key here is how the game unfolds early. If New York gets on the board first, this could quickly turn into a back-and-forth scoring game, forcing Montreal to open things up.

With a 6.5 total, the ceiling is high if both teams contribute.

Pick: OVER 6.5 goals

Sabres +106 at Senators (7:00PM)

This is a strong value play on a live underdog.

Buffalo continues to be one of the more dangerous teams in these plus-money spots because of their offensive upside and ability to capitalize in transition. They don’t need to dominate possession to win—they just need chances.

Ottawa, while talented, has struggled with consistency, particularly defensively. They’ve shown a tendency to give up quality looks, which plays directly into Buffalo’s strengths.

At +106, this line suggests a near coin flip—and in those situations, grabbing the underdog with more explosive scoring potential is often the right move.

If this game opens up even slightly, Buffalo has the edge in turning chances into goals.

Pick: Sabres +106