Thursday has just over half of the league in action as the second week of March 2026 continues. It features 9 contests on a full NBA slate with start times ranging from 7:00 PM ET to 10:30 PM ET.
Can the Spurs cover the 4.5-point spread as home favorites against the Nuggets? Will the Celtics cover on the road against the Thunder at the Paycom Center in OKC? I’ll make picks for both contests below. Read on for our Thursday NBA Best Bets March 12 article.
NBA Best Bet: Denver Nuggets +4.5 over San Antonio Spurs
I like Denver here. The Nuggets are in a good spot to cover the 4.5-point spread as road underdogs against the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday night. Denver thrives in this exact situational spot, boasting a 14-6 ATS record as an underdog and sporting a 21-18 ATS record after a win this season.
Their ability to perform on short rest is equally impressive; the Nuggets are 8-6 ATS when playing on no rest and 9-6 ATS when playing with the rest disadvantage this season. Expect their veteran roster to dictate the pace and keep this game close down to the final buzzer.
Final score projection: DENVER NUGGETS 112, SAN ANTONIO SPURS 110.
NBA Best Bet: Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5 over Boston Celtics
I’d take the Thunder in this one. Oklahoma City is poised to cover the 6.5-point spread as home favorites against the Boston Celtics on Thursday night. OKC has consistently capitalized on favorable scheduling, going 11-8 ATS when playing with a rest advantage and 6-5 ATS when operating on 2 or 3 days of rest this season.
Furthermore, the Thunder hold a commanding historic edge in this specific matchup, boasting an 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 games against the Celtics. With fresh legs and home-court advantage, expect the Thunder to pull away late and secure a decisive victory.
Final score projection: OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER 120, BOSTON CELTICS 110.
Thursday NBA Best Bets March 12
- Denver Nuggets +4.5
- Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5
Follow: Twitter/X · Bluesky · Facebook
Responsible Gaming
For help and resources, visit our Responsible Gaming page or the National Council on Problem Gambling.
Affiliate Disclosure
We may receive affiliate commissions if you sign up through links on our site. Read our full Affiliate Disclosure.