Saturday CBB Best Bets Feb. 28: Can Florida win big over Arkansas?

Last Updated on February 28, 2026 10:00 pm by Alex Becker

Saturday features a full college basketball slate with several mid-major teams and a bunch of high-major schools taking the floor on the 28th day of February 2026. Will #1 Duke beat #11 Virginia by 11 points or more at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham? Can #20 Arkansas go on the road and cover against #7 Florida? Read on for our Saturday CBB Best Bets Feb. 28 article.

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CBB Best Bet: Virginia +10.5 over Duke

I like the Cavaliers here. Virginia’s path to covering the 10.5-point spread at Cameron Indoor Stadium lies in their elite interior defense and ability to control the pace. Ranking 2nd nationally in shot-block percentage and 5th in opponent two-point field goal percentage, the Cavaliers possess the rare rim protection needed to counter some of Duke’s high-percentage looks.

Their ATS profile further bolsters this outlook: Virginia is a perfect 3-0 ATS as an underdog this season. Complemented by a 5-4 ATS road record and a steady 6-5-1 ATS mark when playing an opponent on equal rest this year, the Cavaliers are statistically primed to shorten the game and keep the margin within single digits.

Final score projection: DUKE BLUE DEVILS 68, VIRGINIA CAVALIERS 61.

CBB Best Bet: Arkansas +10.5 over Florida

I’m taking the Razorbacks in this one. Arkansas’ high-octane offense, which averages over 90 points per game, should provide the necessary firepower to keep pace with Florida’s aggressive attack. Led by the SEC’s leading scorer, Darius Acuff Jr., the Razorbacks are sufficiently battle-tested, boasting a 10-5 ATS conference record and an impressive 6-3 ATS mark against ranked opponents this season.

The Razorbacks’ statistical reliability is further bolstered by a 12-5 ATS record on equal rest and a solid 5-4 ATS mark as underdogs this year. By pushing the tempo and utilizing their interior scoring, Arkansas is well-positioned to keep this contest competitive throughout.

Final score projection: FLORIDA GATORS 85, ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS 81.