Wednesday NBA Best Bets Feb. 25: Is the total too low in Houston's game against Sacramento?

Wednesday is the midpoint of the final week of February 2026. It features 6 contests on a light NBA slate with start times ranging from 7:30 PM ET to 10:00 PM ET. Can the Thunder cover the 5.5-point spread as road underdogs against the Pistons? Will the Kings and Rockets combine to score over 223.5 points?? I’ll make picks for both contests below. Read on for our Wednesday NBA Best Bets Feb. 25 article.

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NBA Best Bet: Detroit Pistons -5.5 over Oklahoma City Thunder

I like Detroit here. The Pistons are primed to cover the 5.5-point spread as home favorites against the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Detroit has been a model of consistency lately, going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Their resilience is a key factor here; they are 9-4 ATS following a loss, showing an elite ability to bounce back.

Furthermore, with a 6-5 ATS record when playing with a rest advantage, Detroit’s fresh legs should overwhelm a travel-worn OKC squad that is playing their third game in four nights. Between their defensive discipline and historical ATS trends, Detroit is well-positioned to pull away late. Final score projection: DETROIT PISTONS 116, OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER 108.

NBA Best Bet: Sacramento Kings vs. Houston Rockets OVER 223.5 points

I’d take the over in this game. The Sacramento Kings and Houston Rockets are set to explode past the total of 223.5 on Wednesday night. Sacramento’s defense has been porous all season, ranking 28th in scoring defense and surrendering a staggering 121.0 points per game.

Offensive trends also favor the over, which has hit in 6 of Sacramento’s last 9 games. Additionally, the over is 14-12 when the Kings face an opponent on equal rest, as both teams enter this matchup following Monday contests. With high-paced play and defensive lapses expected, a high-scoring affair is quite likely. Final score projection: HOUSTON ROCKETS 124, SACRAMENTO KINGS 112.