Service Plays – NFL – Sunday Jan 25

Brandon Lang
The Pick: 200 Dime play is on the Denver Broncos.
The current line is +4 1/2 in Vegas and offshore.

Bob Balfe
2025 VIP Football Record (107-100)

Patriots -4 over Broncos
Rams +2.5 over Seahawks

Pickswise Sports
5* Broncos +4.5
3* Under 43
5* Rams +2.5
3* Under 47

Gianni the Greek NFL
4 % New England Patriots at Denver Broncos Over +41.0 (-120)

Billy Coleman
5% rams TT over 22.5

Zachary Cohen [VSIN NFL]
Rams +2.5
Rams +130
Prop Play Rams RB Kyren Williams Over 53.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Patriots -4.5
Prop Play Patriots QB Drake Maye Over 223.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Clutch Points Sports NFL
Broncos +5.5
Under 42.5

Rams +2.5
Under 47.5

Steve Makinen [VSIN NFL]
Broncos +4.5
Under 43

Mark Ruelle NFL 4* Rams +2.5

Bosun Akinpelu
NFL 4* Patriots -4

NFL conference championship betting trends​

Patriots (-4½, 42½) at Broncos: This will be the sixth playoff meeting between the Broncos and Patriots, with the home team winning and covering the previous five. Denver is 4-1 in those games, most recently the 2015 AFC title game. New England has won and covered five straight overall and enters on a 15-1 straight up and 13-3 against the spread uptick. The Patriots won all eight away games this season while going 7-1 ATS and are on over runs of 6-1 and 10-3. Denver has won 14 of its past 15 games and has covered six of its past nine at Mile High. The Broncos also covered their past four as underdogs and covered both games as home underdogs. Denver is on a 5-2 over run. Edge: Over and slight to Patriots.

Rams at Seahawks (-2½, 46½): The teams split two close meetings. Both were decided on the final play, with the home team winning each but failing to cover narrow spreads. The combined score of their two meetings was Rams 58, Seahawks 57. Los Angeles and coach Sean McVay had won six of the previous nine meetings at Seattle. McVay is 5-3 straight up and ATS as a playoff visitor with the Rams. The under is on a 7-3 run in the series, though the last matchup Dec. 18 at Seattle went over. Los Angeles went 5-5 ATS as a visitor and 1-1 ATS as an underdog, with the loss on a blocked field goal returned for a touchdown by the Eagles on the game’s final play. Los Angeles is on a 7-2 spread run as an underdog overall. The Rams are also on a 7-1 over run. Seattle has won eight straight and 12 of 13, though it’s 5-4 ATS at home. The Seahawks are on a 6-2 over run at home. Edge: Rams and over.

Weekend football predictions: Pro sports bettors pick NFL playoff games​
LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION

A message of hope for Denver Broncos fans and a shot at the New England Patriots.

That’s what former Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Nick Foles posted on X after the Patriots advanced to the AFC title game against a Broncos team reeling from the loss of starting quarterback Bo Nix to a season-ending injury.

“A positive note going into the game versus the Patriots is that they struggle against backup QBs in championship-type games,” wrote Foles (@NickFoles).

Foles famously replaced injured Eagles starting quarterback Carson Wentz late in the 2017 season en route to earning Super Bowl MVP honors after leading Philadelphia to its first Super Bowl win in a 41-33 upset of the Patriots.

Former Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Jarrett Stidham will start in place of Nix in Sunday’s game at Denver, and that’s the main reason the Broncos are 4½-point home underdogs.

Professional sports bettor Jeff Whitelaw thinks oddsmakers overadjusted the line and bet on Denver +6, though he still recommends a play at +4½.

“They basically made an 8-point adjustment between Nix and Stidham, and I don’t believe that’s justified. I made New England like 3, 3½,” he said. “It’s a tough game. Denver has the better defense. New England has a way better offense, especially now with an unproven quarterback. But it’s been done before.

“Sean Payton’s an excellent coach. I think it will be a close game.”

Home underdogs of four points or more in the NFL playoffs are 10-0 against the spread with six outright wins over the past 50 years, according to Sports Odds History.

CBS Sportsline handicapper Bruce Marshall and “Dr. Alan” Dumond, 3-1 ATS on his postseason plays in the Las Vegas Review-Journal, also made the Broncos their best bet of the conference championships.

“The prevailing narrative coming into this game is that the Broncos have no chance to win this game due to quarterback Bo Nix being out with an injury,” Dumond said. “However, the Broncos have a strong home-field advantage, and their defense led the NFL with 68 sacks, was No. 2 in fewest total yards and was No. 3 in fewest points allowed.”

Marshall noted that Payton’s backups have always performed well dating to his days with the New Orleans Saints, and he’s also banking on Denver’s defense to disrupt Patriots second-year quarterback Drake Maye.

“Denver’s NFL-best pass rush is likely to get Maye off script and who, for all his mobility, displayed a surprising lack of pocket presence last week versus Houston,” Marshall said. “A mistake-free game from Stidham, and Vance Joseph’s defense producing a key takeaway or two, would be a recipe for a Denver upset.”

Pro sports bettor Scott Pritchard made the Broncos-Patriots over 42½ his best bet.

“Home team controls the tempo, and the fact is there were (798) total yards racked up in Denver last week,” said Pritchard (Pritchardspicks.com).

Here is a best bet on the NFC title game:

SEAHAWKS (-2)​

Whitelaw said he likes the Seahawks more than he likes the Broncos.

“I took Denver plus the points because of the number. It was high,” he said. “But Seattle, I actually like on a lot of fundamentals. It’s the Rams’ third consecutive road game. The Rams played a very physical game last week, and now they’ve got to travel again.

“Seattle was at home and didn’t get tested. They got to relax a little bit. And I like to bet the better defensive team, and Seattle is clearly the better defensive team.”

Pro bettor Cris Zeniuk also likes the Seahawks ATS, but prefers to bet Seattle on the money line (-140).

“The model likes Seattle by more than a field goal, so lots of value,” he said. “The Rams have played Seattle tough, but they seem to be running on fumes a bit, as they have had one of the worst defenses over the last quarter of the season, and Matthew Stafford has not been quite as sharp as he started.

“Seattle is well rounded. The only obstacle is going to be their own mistakes, which I feel they will avoid in front of home cooking.”

(Last week 4* winner Pats -3)

ATS.bet
NFL Conference Championships Sunday 1/25/26

4Units: 2Team – 6.5pt Teaser or Alternative Parlay (-125)
Denver Broncos +10.5
LA Rams +9

Pamela Maldonado
Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams Over 46.5 (-110)

Jeff Ma
Los Angeles Rams+2.5 vs Seattle Seahawks (-110)
Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams Over 46.5 (-110)

Steve Makinen [VSIN NFL]
Rams +2.5
Under 47

Marco
4% – Den

Steve Stevens Sports (VIP Sports)
NFL Top Play Broncos +4.5

Ben Burns
NFL
5% NE v Denver UNDER 20.5 FH

Wayne Root
Pinnacle – Denver +4′ (NFL AFC Championship GOY)
Gold Standard – LA Rams +2′
Special Total – LA Rams/Seattle Over 46′ (NFL Total of the Year)

Bill “Krackman” Krackomberger
4% NFL PROP PICK Seattle Seahawks: Kenneth Walker III Under 86.5
4% NFL PROP PICK Denver Broncos: RJ Harvey Receiving Yards Over 20.5
4% NFL PROP PICK Denver Broncos: Jarrett Stidham Passing Yards Over 198.5
5% NFL PROP PICK New England at Denver :1H Total Over 20.5
NFL REG season picks 104-102 Post season 4-2

Clutch Points Sports NFL
Broncos +5.5
Under 42.5

Rams +2.5
Under 47.5

Bruce Marshall
Denver Broncos +4 (-111)
LA Rams ML (+120)

Gianni the Greek
4 % New England Patriots at Denver Broncos Over +41.0 (-120)
4% Denver Broncos +4.5 (-115)
3% PROP PICK RJ Harvey Receiving Yards Over 20.5 (-140
3% PROP PICK Hunter Henry Receptions Over 3.5 (-112)
3% PROP PICK Davante Adams Receiving Yards Under 49.5
3% PROP PICK  Seahawks: Kenneth Walker Receiving Yards Over 21.5
4% Seattle Seahawks -1
4% Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks Under 46.5

Bob Balfe:

NFL
3:30 PM EST
Rotation # 101
Patriots -4 over Broncos
The write-up for this game isn’t complicated. I don’t care that the public is heavily backing the Patriots, or if we even lose the bet, for that matter. I don’t trust the Broncos’ running game with J.K. Dobbins still on IR, and I don’t trust backup Jarrett Stidham at quarterback getting his first reps of the year in such an important contest. QB Bo Nix was the leader of the offense and could also scramble for yardage. Stidham doesn’t have that in his game. The Broncos’ defense is certainly capable of holding the Patriots in check, but as a gambler, is it something you want to bank on for sixty minutes? The Texans are a perfect example of how hard it is to stay in the game when your offense can’t move the ball. Even the best defenses gas out. The Patriots’ offensive coordinator, Josh McDaniels, has tons of experience in pivotal contests and will design a game plan that should help QB Drake Maye and New England get on the board. New England will then lean on its solid defense. If Jarrett Stidham can beat you with his arm or RJ Harvey and Jaleel McLaughlin can beat you on the ground, then so be it. New England had the weakest schedule in the NFL this year, but that’s not their fault. All they have done is win every single road game on their schedule, so they will be prepared to play. Take the Patriots.
NFL
6:30 PM EST
Rotation # 103
Rams +2.5 over Seahawks
The Rams and Seahawks played a couple of great games this year, splitting the series. Home-field advantage means a lot in the playoffs. The Rams were just 5-4 on the road this season, but they have all the tools to make it to the Super Bowl. Matthew Stafford has a Super Bowl Title under his belt. Kyren Williams and Blake Corum are a great 1-2 punch in the backfield. Puka Nacua and Davante Adams are tough to slow down, and tightends Colby Parkinson and Tyler Higbee can move the chains. The Seahawks will be without Zach Charbonnet, putting more pressure on Kenneth Walker to carry the rushing load, certainly something he is more than capable of, but the Seahawks become a lot more predictable in their offensive sets. Seahawks QB Sam Darnold is dealing with an oblique injury that could flare up on any given snap. The Rams proved they can play tough football at Lumen Field, dominating the game a month ago in a one-point overtime loss. The Rams have all the tools on offense to control the clock. The Rams could be better defensively, but Seattle isn’t going to have a cake walk like they did last week against a 49ers defense missing many key players. Look for another tight game. The Rams would be wise to avoid kicking anywhere near Rashid Shahid. Take the Rams.

Ross Benjamin
5% Denver Broncos +4.0 (-109)
3% Seattle Seahawks -138
2% Rams Game 1H Total Under 23.5 (-130)

Big AL

BOTH GOY
DENVER 5.5
RAMS 2.5

3* Rams/Seahawks Over 47.5, 6:30 pm

NBA Selections
3* Thunder -11, 7:10 pm
3* suns – 3.5, 8:10 pm
1* Grizzlies – 3.5, 3:40

Indian Cowboy

7-Unit Play. #101. Take Over 42.5 New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos (Sunday @ 3pm est)

Joe Raineri
5% Rams +3 -125

CashItBaby
ALL PLAYS 1/25/26

NFL PLAYS
(5U) BRONCOS+4.5 -110

NBA PLAYS
(5U) RAPTORS+11 -110
(6U) SUNS ML -170

NHL PLAYS
(5U) PENGUINS ML (3WAY) +110

WHALE PLAYS
KYREN WILLIAMS (LAR) O69.5 RUSH+REC YARDS -114
KONATA MUMPFIELD (LAR) O3.5 REC YARDS -110
TYLER HIGBEE (LAR) O14.5 REC YARDS -110
MATTHEW STAFFORD (LAR) O249.5 PASS YARDS -127
RHAMONDRE STEVENSON (NEP) O71.5 RUSH+REC YARDS -110

Executive
300% – Den
250% – Rams

SmartMoneySports
Denver Broncos+4.5 -110 (3u 3:00e)
Denver Broncos Team Total Over 17.5 -130 (2u 3:00e)
Los Angeles Rams ML +115 (3u 6:30e)
Seattle Seahawks Team Total Under 24.5 -135 (5u 6:30e)

Ross Benjamin
5% Denver Broncos +4.0
3% Seattle Seahawks
2% Rams Game 1H Total Under 23.5

Will Rogers
5% 1st half Denver +3.5 -121 ( line??)

Hammering Hank
AFC CHAMPIONSHIP PLAY OF THE YEAR
Broncos+4 7 UNIT MAX

Bill Rupp
NBA First BAsket
3pm Kings v Det
Cunningham+485(.5u) DK
Duren+700(.5u) FD

NFL
3pm Both teams to make a 33+yard FG YES-115(1u)
3pm BTTS 1+TD ea half+200(1u) 2+4000(.25u)
3pm Marvin Mims 1.5 rush yards-125(1u) MGM
3pm First drive result Punt for each team +1299(.25u)
3pm First drive punt first game Pats, Denver +271(.5u)
630pm Ferguson 13.5 rec yards-135(1u) MGM
630pm Parksinson longest rec 13.5 yards-120(1u)

BILL THE VILDER!
Parlay Stidham 125+ pass, Maye 150+pass, Stevenson 25+ rush, Harvey 15+ rush, Diggs 15+ rec-120(1u)

TBSportbetting
2-4 (147~110) whale only
Whale
Rams +2.5 (NFL)

Others
Patriots U 21.5 1H (NFL)

Timberwolves -6.5 (NBA)
Washington -8.5 (NCAAB)

Gavazzi
3* Den
3* Sea