Newsletters – NFL Playoffs & NCAAF Bowls – Jan 10-11+, 2026

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    • #542201
      bimmercando
      Participant

      Nothing Yet

    • #542213
      bimmercando
      Participant

      Newsletter Tracking (through 1/5/2026)

      The records here will reflect the lines listed in the newsletters at the time the plays were published.

      Best & Worst
      Gold Sheet NCAA Tech Plays (14-3-0)
      Playbook Awesome Angle (15-5-1)
      Power Sweep Tech Play of the Week (9-4-0)
      Bondi 2* NFL (2-8-0)

      Gridiron Gold Sheet
      NCAA (32-32-2)
      NFL (32-19-1) (3-1 this week)

      Bondi Bulletin (3rd-straight week we didn’t see this one)
      2* NCAA (6-3-0)
      1* NCAA (10-16-0)
      2* NFL (2-8-0)
      1* NFL (8-12-0)

      Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
      “Top” play (1-0-0)
      5* (6-8-1)
      4* (7-8-0)
      3* (8-7-0)
      Upset pick (11-9-0)
      Betcha Didn’t Know (10-12-0)
      Awesome Angle (15-5-1)
      Incredible Stat (7-7-0)

      Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
      5* (7-11-0)
      4* (9-9-0)
      3* (10-7-1)

      Pointwise NCAA
      1* (21-11-0)
      2* (8-13-0) (4-0 run)
      3* (6-9-0)
      4* (18-14-0)
      5* (19-18-1)

      Pointwise NFL
      2* (3-3-0)
      3* (13-17-0)
      4* (10-9-0)
      5* (16-18-1)

      Power Sweep NCAA
      4* (9-12-1) (current streak 6-1)
      3* (13-23-1)
      2* (26-19-1)
      Underdog Play of the Week (6-8-0)
      Tech Play of the Week (9-4-0)
      Revenge Play of the Week (6-6-0)
      Situational Play of the Week (6-3-0)
      Series Play of the Week (4-3-1)

      Power Sweep NFL
      4* (7-10-1)
      3* (10-8-0)
      2* (9-9-0)
      3* o/u play (8-10-0)
      Power Rating POW (0-0-1)

      Power Plays
      NCAA 4.5* (20-19-1)
      NCAA 4* (53-44-1)
      NFL 4* (7-10-1)

      V.King’s Totals Tipsheet (0-5 overall this week)
      10* GOY (0-0-0)
      3* (9-11-0)
      2* (17-17-0)
      1* (0-0-0)
      Team Total of the Week
      2* (17-14-1)
      1* (2-3-0)

      Gold Sheet NCAA (didn’t see Gold Sheet this week)
      Key Releases (18-27-1)
      Priority Picks (16-15-0)
      Tech Plays (14-3-0)

      Gold Sheet NFL
      Key Releases (27-22-1)
      Priority Picks (18-16-0)
      Tech Plays (7-9-0)

      Powers’ Ratings NCAA
      (no actual best bets in his newsletter again this year)
      Top Computer Play (5-9-1)

      Inside the Press Box NCAA
      Phil’s Best Bets (27-38-0)
      Phil’s FCS Best Bets (5-3-0)
      Computer Best Bets (30-30-1)
      Computer FCS Best Bets (4-0-0)

      Inside the Press Box NFL (nothing this week)
      Phil’s Best Bets (23-22-0)
      Computer Best Bets (0-0-0)


      Pointwise

      https://drive.google.com/file/d/14gWTP4Fz7g720fVbO1c6GBko0poOLhK_/view?usp=sharing
      ( Looks like they screwed up and put last year’s NCAAF semi final teams in the newsletter ! )

      Phil’s ITPB NFL
      https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yT0hlfd8EB9WWLF8o2Wv5npQ0_AGAMzW/view

      Phil’s Forecast:
      Miami – Mississippi
      This is the fourth meeting between these schools, but the first since 1951! Both teams are in the CFP Semifinal round for the first time. The Fiesta Bowl has historically been a house of horrors for Miami. They are 0-4 here including losses in two National Title games in ‘87 (vs
      Penn St) and ‘03 (vs Ohio St). Ole Miss is making their first trip to the Fiesta Bowl. Hurricanes
      have won 4 in a row SU & ATS vs the SEC. Ole Miss last 5 vs ACC, 5-0 SU & ATS by avg score of 45-15. Miami’s best win in the regular season came in their opener against Notre Dame.
      That win vaulted them ahead of the Irish in the final Playoff rankings. They lost two ACC games to Louisville and SMU and missed out on the ACC Title game because of tie-breaker rules. The ‘Canes beat Texas A&M of the SEC 10-3 in the first round of the playoffs. Last week, we used
      Miami (+9’) as our 4.5-star Bowl GOY against Ohio St. Miami never trailed the entire game and pulled a 24-14 upset. The ‘Canes D has been dominant. They allow just 13 ppg and 285 ypg
      and just 84 rush ypg (2.8). Their loaded Dline, led by DE’s Rueben Bain and Akheem Mesidor,
      held Ohio St to 45 rush yds and they have 21 sacks in their last 4 games. That pressure up front has helped a secondary that ranks #14 in our Pass D Rankings with a 9-12 ratio. Miami holds opp 119ypg below their avg (#4 FBS).QB Carson Beck has been accurate (75%) and has
      a 13-1 ratio in his last 6 games. RB Mark Fletcher (947, 5.4) leads the ground game, WR Malachi Toney (1008, 10.7) is a Freshman All-American, and the Oline has allowed just 15 sacks in 14 games. The Rebels finished the regular season 11-1 and their only loss was at
      Georgia 43-35. Each of their first two playoff games were rematches. They beat Tulane 41-10 (-17’). Last week they were +6 against Georgia. They trailed 21-12 at half but the Rebs D stepped up, and QB Trinidad Chambliss went bonkers in the 2H as Ole Miss rallied to win 39-34.
      Chambliss has a 21-3 ratio but has his toughest test against Miami’s physical front 4. RB Kewan Lacy has rushed for 1464 (4.9, 23 td’s) and just announced he’s staying here in 2026.
      Chambliss doesn’t have a true WR1 but 5 of his receivers have at least 500yds. The Rebels have given up an SEC-low 18 sacks in 14 games. The offense avgs 141ypg above opp average (#1 FBS!). Ole Miss’ is allowing 20 ppg and 340 ypg and holds foes 21 ypg below their avg (#50 in FBS). Rebel pass D ranks #25 with a 15-8 ratio and allows just 6.5 ypa. My computer has Miami 29-22 and AGG has the Canes by 1.5. Miami has played the tougher schedule (#18 vs #41) while Ole Miss has the better ST’s unit (#34 vs #61). Miami has faced 6 teams this
      year that were ranked at kickoff (6-0 SU & ATS). Ole Miss has faced 5 teams this ssn ranked at
      kickoff (4-1 SU & ATS). Ole Miss has enjoyed the benefit of familiarity in its first 2 CFP games ith Tulane & Georgia. However, that won’t be the case in the Fiesta Bowl. Miami’s front 7 presents challenges Chambliss has yet to face, and while HC Golding has done a great job so
      far, the Ole Miss staff is in flux as some assistants prepare to join Lane Kiffin at LSU. I agree with my computer here and have a small lean on the under as well.

      This Weeks Numbers
      28.7 Score 21.6 VEGAS LINE Miami, Fl By 3.5

      Indiana 24 – Oregon 17
      It’s a Big 10 rematch in the Semifinals at the Peach Bowl in Atlanta. This is the 5th all-time meeting between
      these schools. Indiana (+7) won the regular season meeting in Eugene 30-20. Indiana had a 326-267 yd edge
      in Autzen Stadium and Oregon scored 7 points on a Pick-6 that tied the game early 4Q. This is Indiana’s 3rd
      trip to the Peach Bowl (0-2) but first since 1990 while Oregon makes their first trip to the Peach Bowl but
      played in Mercedes Benz Stadium in Dan Lanning’s debut in ’22 versus Georgia. After the loss to Indiana,
      Oregon won 6 straight including 5 over Bowl teams. The Ducks were ahead 34-6 against James Madison at
      half in Round 1, pulled the starters to prepare for the quarterfinals, and allowed 28 pts and 312 yds in the 2H
      with their starters resting the last few possessions. The D didn’t like that some were critical of the
      performance, so they were fired up last week vs Texas Tech in the Orange Bowl. The Ducks held Red Raiders
      to 215 yards and recorded a shutout, 23-0, against a team that came in averaging 42.5ppg. Oregon is #3,
      putting up 135 ypg more than foes allow and #5, holding foes 115 ypg below their avg. QB Dante Moore has
      a 28-9 ratio and is improving in his first full season as the starter. The bi-play trio of RB’s Noah Whittington,
      Jordon Davison, Dierre Hill have combined for 2066 rushing (6.6). Malik Benson (696, 16.9) leads a rec corps
      that is just now getting back to 100% after being banged up for much of the year. Frosh CB Brandon Finney
      had 2 int’s and a FR last week and he had the Pick-6 in the first meeting vs Indiana. HC Curt Cignetti has not
      let Indiana get complacent. They’ve checked all the boxes at 14-0. They won in Eugene earlier this year and
      won the Big 10 Title by beating Ohio St. The Hoosiers were absolutely dominant last week, beating Alabama
      38-3 with a 407-193 yd edge. They are +32 ppg and +216 ypg. Heisman-winning QB Fernando Mendoza
      leads an offense that puts up 42 ppg and 468 ypg and 123 ypg more than their foes allow on avg (#4 FBS).
      Indiana is deep at RB and has a big edge at WR with Omar Cooper (849, 13.9), Elijah Sarratt (727, 13.2) and
      Charlie Becker who has gone over 100 yds in 3 of the last 5 games. The line has allowed 21 sacks, 5 more
      than Oregon. The dominant Hoosier D is allowing just 10 ppg and 253 ypg while holding foes 110 ypg below
      their avg (#7 FBS). They have 42 sacks, 13 more than Oregon, and are tied for #1 in the FBS with just 7 td
      passes allowed. My computer has Indiana 28-24 and AGG favors the Hoosiers by 2.5 and 5.2 over the last 4
      games. Indiana boasts the stronger ST’s (#15 vs #26) while Oregon has played the much harder schedule
      (#4 vs #42). In 6 games vs teams ranked at kickoff this year, Oregon is 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS. Ducks have been
      a dog 6 times in 4 years under Lanning and are 4-2 ATS with 3 straight covers. Indiana 4-0 SU & ATS vs teams ranked at kickoff. Under ignetti, Hoosiers 7-1 ATS as a single digit favorite (beat Iowa this yr, 20-15,
      as a 9pt favorite). Indiana has gone through the two biggest programs in CFB, Ohio St and Alabama, to reach
      this point. They also outplayed Oregon in Autzen Stadium in the first meeting. Cignetti has built this team to dominate opponents on both sides of the ball, and I can’t see Oregon ending that run. Hoosiers clear the number in a lower scoring game that brings Mendoza one step closer to a national championship game in his Miami hometown.

      NC POWER PLAYS
      https://drive.google.com/file/d/1AA5oykIc9JfXbqCPMcaWxuJ8-NP3hm5G/view

      NC POWER SWEEP
      https://drive.google.com/file/d/1rbEy8JbTt41xciSlBmVI9Lu0h60nqV-k/view

    • #542236
      bimmercando
      Participant

      POINTWISE (CORRECTION FOR NCAAF)

      FIESTA
      BOWLAT GLENDALE, ARIZONA
      #10 MIAMI (12-2) vs #6 MISSISSIPPI (13-1)
      THURSDAY, JANUARY 8

      7:30 PM EST — ESPN TELEVISION
      LINE: MIAMI BY 2½ — OVER/UNDER: 51½
      AOPR AVS FDS RUSH PASS TRN EDGE TO:
      Miami ………. 49.3 … 33-14 … 23-13 .. 149- 84 …. 265-198 .. +10 . Miami
      Ole Miss …… 49.1 … 37-21 … 26-18 .. 183-149 … 314-186 .. – 2 . by 3.7 Pts
      ANALYSIS
      Not many experts predicted this matchup when the College Football Playoff (CFP)
      bracket was released. Afterall, Georgia & defending champs Ohio St stood in
      their way. That didn’t matter to either of these suddenly dangerous squads. This
      is only the 4th time these 2 have squared off, with the last meeting a mere 75
      years ago back in 1951, with the Hurricanes winning 20-7 in Miami. However,
      the stakes in this one are much more significant. The ‘Canes have won back to
      back games vs AP Top-10 for the first time since 1992 after knocking off Texas
      A&M and Ohio St. As for the Rebels of Ole Miss, they have won 7 straight after
      going down to Georgia back in October 43-35. Canes’ QB Carson Beck com-
      pleted 13 straight against the stout Buckeye “D” & Rebs slinger Trinidad Chambliss
      had 12 straight completions to start the 2nd half vs the Bulldogs. Chambliss’ 4th
      quarter stats: 7/12, 127 yards & a TD. In that November loss to UGA, he was
      1/10 for 1 yard in the 4th. Ole Miss outscored Georgia 27-13 in the 2nd half & for
      the first time in 76 games, UGA lost a game when leading after the 3rd quarter.
      Canes defense had 5 sacks & 2 picks, including a 72 yard ‘pick-6’. The 24 points
      Miami put on Ohio St were the most points allowed by the Buckeyes all season.
      The Canes are the first double-digit seed to reach the CFP Semifinals in the 2
      years of the 12 team format. After upsetting Georgia, Ole Miss has 7 Sugar Bowl
      titles (2nd all-time to Alabama’s 10). PK Lucas Carneiro was 3/3: 56, 55 & game
      winning 47 yarder at the buzzer after Georgia erased a 10-point lead to tie it up
      with 0:56 left. Can’t see anything but a scorcher here, with final play deciding it.
      PROPHECY: MIAMI 31 – Mississippi 24 RATING: 6

      PEACH BOWLAT ATLANTA, GEORGIA
      #5 OREGON (13-1) vs #1 INDIANA (14-0)
      FRIDAY, JANUARY 9

      7:30 PM EST — ESPN TELEVISION
      LINE: INDIANA BY 4 — OVER/UNDER: 47½
      AOPR AVS FDS RUSH PASS TRN EDGE TO:
      Oregon …….. 47.8 … 37-14 … 22-15 .. 208-105 … 221-139 .. +11 . Indiana
      Indiana …….. 50.5 … 42-10 … 25-13 .. 238- 74 …. 181-246 .. +18 . by 8.9 Pts
      ANALYSIS
      Two Big 10 teams battling for a spot in the National Championship Game, with
      neither participant named Penn St, Michigan or Ohio St. Still hard to fathom that
      the Hoosiers of Indiana have upset the Ducks of Oregon in their last 2 meetings,
      both in Autzen Stadium. Back in 2004, Indiana pulled off the upset 30-24, thanks
      to 7 Oregon turnovers & earlier this season 30-20 (October 11), which is the
      Ducks’ only blemish this year. That was the Hoosiers first win over an AP Top 5
      team since 1967. Indiana is the only team with a BYE (1-7) to reach the CFP
      Final Four in its 2-year existence. Indiana’s 38-3 domination of the Tide in the
      Rose Bowl was the Hoosiers first bowl win since 1991, and only the 4th in team
      history. HC Curt Cignetti (25-2 in 2 seasons in Bloomington) joins Lee Corso &
      Bill Malloy as the only Indiana HCs with a bowl victory. Heisman Trophy winner
      Fernando Mendoza (14/16, 192 yards, 3 TDs) gave the Tide their largest loss in
      Alabama bowl history. Hoosiers knocked out QB Ty Simpson with cracked ribs
      in the 3rd quarter & the last time Bama lost any game by 35 points was 1998. As
      for the Ducks of Oregon, they registered the 3rd shutout in CFP history & gave
      the Red Raiders of Texas Tech their first shutout in 25 years. Ducks “D” held
      Texas Tech to 88 first half yards, a season low 215 yards, a time of possession
      edge of 38:00-22:00 & forced a season high 4 Red Raider turnovers (including a
      huge 4th quarter end zone pick with Oregon leading 13-0). Cannot ignore what
      the Hoosiers have done under Cignetti, nor what the ‘Ducks continue to do year
      after year, especially with their nearly unstoppable “O”. But Indy “D” the decider.
      PROPHECY: INDIANA 33 – Oregon 17 RATING: 2

    • #542237
      bimmercando
      Participant
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