Thursday Night Football Odds – Jets vs Patriots Picks & Predictions

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Thursday Night Football Odds Show The Patriots Heavily Favored over The Jets on TNF Week 11.

Last Updated on November 11, 2025 3:38 pm by Michael Cash

FOXBOROUGH, MA — NFL Week 11 opens on November 13, 2025 as the New York Jets take on the New England Patriots. The kick-off has been set for 8:15PM ET from Gilette Stadium in Foxboro, MA. Betting screens show Thursday Night Football odds heavily favoring the Patriots with NE –11.5 (–115) and the total set at 43.0. Moneylines show NYJ +525 / NE –800. Can New England make a statement and cover a two+ score spread at home?

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Jets vs Patriots Odds — Week 11

Thursday Night Football Odds New York Jets vs New England Patriots
Team Spread Total Moneyline
New York Jets +11.5 43.0 +525
New England Patriots –11.5 43.0 –800

Where This Game Will Be Won

New England’s defensive front dominates the matchup on paper, and they should force the Jets into predictable passing downs. If New York can’t establish the run early, their limited passing efficiency will keep the chains stalled and field position one-sided in favor of the home team.

Offensively, the Patriots lean on ball control and play-action to create chunk plays against a tired Jets defense. Expect a steady diet of short yardage success and clock management to cover the number if turnovers stay neutral.

Who is The Public Betting — Jets vs Patriots

Public Betting Percentages
Team Tickets Open → Current
New York Jets 35% +5.5 → +11.5
New England Patriots 65% –5.5 → –11.5

Sharp Read: A double-digit jump toward the favorite confirms heavy Patriots money from both sharp and public angles. Any late Jets buyback at +12 could be short-lived, as New England continues to draw support in primetime.

Numbers update frequently — check the latest on the NFL public betting chart and learn usage basics in our public betting guide.

Thursday Night Football Week 11 Jets vs Patriots Prediction

Patriots –11.5 (–115). New England’s defense should dominate a Jets offense that ranks near the bottom in third-down conversion rate. Lean: Under 43 — unless turnovers set up short fields, this projects as a methodical Patriots win with limited explosives.

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