Last Updated on November 1, 2025 1:33 am by Alex Becker
INDIANAPOLIS — The Golden State Warriors visit the Indiana Pacers on Saturday as Indiana navigates serious injury setbacks. Our Warriors vs. Pacers prediction weighs whether Golden State’s depth and pace edge holds up over the full 48 minutes.
The Golden State Warriors are 4-2 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 4-2 ATS this season.
The Indiana Pacers are 0-5 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 3-2 ATS this season.
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Warriors vs. Pacers Odds: ML, Spread, Total
- Moneyline: Warriors −450 / Pacers +340
- Spread: Warriors −10.5 / Pacers +10.5
- Total: 231.5 Over (-110)/Under(-110)
- Start Time: 7:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 1, 2025
- Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
- TV: NBA TV
Warriors vs. Pacers Matchup Breakdown
- Pace & Shot Profile: Golden State thrives in transition and uses pace to get high-efficiency looks; Indiana may look to limit the total number of possessions due to injuries and a depleted lineup.
- On-Ball Creation: The Warriors’ creation revolves around Stephen Curry with Jimmy Butler and Jonathan Kuminga taking on secondary roles; Indiana will be missing multiple starting guards, which could increase their turnover risk.
- Interior & Glass: Indiana is 20th in rebound rate, their frontcourt depth and interior presence are limited, giving Golden State a chance to control the glass.
- Injury/Status: Pacers remain without starters Tyrese Haliburton (Achilles), Bennedict Mathurin (toe), and Andrew Nembhard (shoulder). Warriors’ main rotation players are all healthy and ready to go.
Betting Trends and Market Notes
- Golden State is 13-16-2 ATS in non-conference games since the start of last season.
- Golden State is 29-31-2 ATS when playing on 1 day of rest since the start of last season.
- Indiana is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against Golden State.
- Indiana is 29-23-1 ATS as an underdog since the beginning of last season.
- 59% of the public bets are currently on Golden State -10.5 at the time of this writing.
Standings Stakes & Betting Angles
- Golden State seeks to bounce back after a loss to Milwaukee on Thursday; Indiana looks to halt a losing streak and earn their first outright win of the season.
- Totals note: At 231.5, pace suppression from the Pacers’ injuries favors the under unless both teams shoot above average from three-point range.
Warriors vs. Pacers Prediction & Expert Pick
Pick: Pacers +10.5 (−110). Our Warriors vs. Pacers prediction leans on Indiana’s backcourt depth, homecourt advantage, and superb ATS record of 8-2 against in their last 10 games against Golden State.
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