NEW YORK — Our Week 9 college football recap runs through every AP Top-25 result from a betting lens: who covered, who didn’t, how the totals landed, and where closing numbers (CLV) actually mattered.
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Week 9 college football recap — AP Top-25 results (rank order)
No. 2 Indiana 56, UCLA 6
ATS: Indiana (-26.5) covered • Total: Over 53.0. CLV: Favorite steam didn’t matter; blowout cleared the tax.
No. 3 Texas A&M 49, No. 20 LSU 25
ATS: Texas A&M (-1.5) covered • Total: Over 50.5. CLV: Short-fav flip toward A&M was right.
No. 4 Alabama 29, South Carolina 22
ATS: South Carolina (+12.5) covered • Total: Over 47.5. CLV: Tide won, dog got the money around +12/+12.5.
No. 6 Oregon 21, Wisconsin 7
ATS: Wisconsin (+31) covered • Total: Under 44.5. CLV: Big-chalk/low-total combo leaned to dog + under.
No. 7 Georgia Tech 41, Syracuse 16
ATS: Georgia Tech (-17) covered • Total: Over 52.5. CLV: Sat near the key; Jackets cleared comfortably.
No. 8 Ole Miss 34, No. 13 Oklahoma 26
ATS: Ole Miss (+5.5) covered (won outright) • Total: Over 52.5. CLV: Early dog numbers beat the close and cashed ML.
No. 9 Miami (FL) 42, Stanford 7
ATS: Miami (-30) covered • Total: Over 45.5. CLV: Heavy chalk still got margin; over clipped late.
No. 10 Vanderbilt 17, No. 15 Missouri 10
ATS: Vanderbilt (-3) covered • Total: Under 52.5. CLV: Key number held; under from jump.
No. 11 BYU 41, Iowa State 27
ATS: BYU (+2.5) covered (won outright) • Total: Over 49.0. CLV: Wrong-team-favored case paid.
No. 14 Texas Tech 42, Oklahoma State 0
ATS: Texas Tech (-37.5) covered • Total: Under 56.5. CLV: Enormous spread, no sweat; under right side.
No. 16 Virginia 21, North Carolina 31
ATS: North Carolina (-10.5) did not cover • Total: Over 51.0. CLV: Price on 10/10.5 was fragile; margin landed 10.
No. 17 Tennessee 56, Kentucky 34
ATS: Tennessee (-7.5) covered • Total: Over 54.5. CLV: Late Vols support was correct.
No. 18 South Florida 31, Memphis 34
ATS: Memphis (+3) covered (won outright) • Total: Over 59.0. CLV: Number toggled around a field goal; dog home side cashed.
No. 19 Louisville 38, Boston College 24
ATS: Boston College (+24 to +25.5) covered • Total: Over 54.0. CLV: Inflated favorite never reached the number.
No. 21 Cincinnati 41, Baylor 20
ATS: Cincinnati (-3.5) covered • Total: Under 68.5. CLV: Cheaper home chalk paid; under never sweated.
No. 22 Texas 45, Mississippi State 38 (4OT)
ATS: Mississippi State (+8.5) covered • Total: Over 49.0. CLV: Favorite won; key corridor around 7/8 kept dog live.
No. 23 Illinois 25, Washington 42
ATS: Washington (-3) covered • Total: Over 54.5. CLV: Short home chalk held firm and paid.
No. 24 Arizona State 16, Houston 24
ATS: Houston (+7.5) covered (won outright) • Total: Under 46.5. CLV: Late dog money was right.
No. 25 Michigan 31, Michigan State 20
ATS: Michigan State (+13.5) covered • Total: Over 47.5. CLV: Rivalry tax too rich; dog landed.
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Week 9 CFB recap — key market takeaways
Favorites vs. dogs: Short road favorites split; several ranked teams won but didn’t cover (Alabama, Michigan, Texas), while a flip to short favorite (Texas A&M) cruised. Big home chalk delivered unevenly: Miami covered, Oregon didn’t at an adjusted close.
Keys & corridors: Prices defended 3/7/10/14. Vanderbilt–Missouri on 3, Texas–Mississippi State clustered 7–8.5, and Alabama–South Carolina beneath 14 all reinforced how vig shifts can matter more than half-point moves late.
Totals flow: Overs landed in pace-positive games (Tennessee–Kentucky, Ole Miss–Oklahoma, BYU–Iowa State) while trench scripts and field-position games leaned Under (Oregon–Wisconsin, Houston–ASU). When chalk meets a mid-40s total, derivatives can be the cleaner path.
CLV & betting notes
Early reads that paid: Aggies steam from pk/-1 to the close; Washington holding short chalk; Indiana steam through mid-20s.
Edge preservation: If you grabbed +3 with Memphis or +5.5 with Ole Miss, you owned both the number and the result. That’s the Week 9 CFB recap in one sentence: number first, opinion second.
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What it means for Week 10
Books will price early at keys for ranked road favorites and trim volatility in totals that ran hot Saturday. Expect quick probes to 3/7 and early buyback where public push meets sharp resistance.
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