Browns vs Patriots Expert Pick: Will

Game Information

• Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025

• Time: 1:00 PM ET

• Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

• Broadcast: FOX

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Browns vs Patriots Betting Odds & Public Betting

• Spread: Patriots -7 (Browns +7)

• Moneyline: Patriots -350 | Browns +290

• Over/Under: 40.5 points

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Track live public splits and line movement on the NFL Public Betting Chart

Key Storylines

• Patriots’ Rookie QB Drake Maye: The second-year quarterback has been exceptional, leading the Patriots to a 5-2 record. His impressive stats include 1,744 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, and just two interceptions. However, questions remain about the strength of the defenses faced so far.

• Browns’ Defensive Strength: Despite a 2-5 record, the Browns boast one of the league’s top defenses, ranking first in yards allowed. Players like Myles Garrett and Denzel Ward anchor a unit that has kept them competitive

• Injuries Impacting Both Teams: The Browns are dealing with injuries to key players, including tight end David Njoku and offensive tackle Jack Conklin. The Patriots have their own concerns, with cornerback Charles Woods and safety Jaylinn Hawkins listed as questionable.

Betting Trends

• Browns Against the Spread (ATS): Cleveland is 3-4 ATS this season, with a 0-3 record on the road. Historically, as underdogs of 6+ points on the road, the Browns have struggled, with a 4-35 straight-up record since 2014.

• Patriots ATS: New England is 5-2 ATS this season, including a 4-0 record on the road. At home, they are 1-2 ATS, indicating some vulnerability when favored at Gillette Stadium.

• Over/Under Trends: Both teams have seen the under hit in 4 of their 7 games this season, suggesting a tendency toward lower-scoring affairs.

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Weather Forecast

• Conditions: Mostly sunny

• Temperature: 56°F

• Wind: North at 6 mph

Ideal conditions for football, with no significant weather concerns expected to impact gameplay.

Browns vs Patriots Prediction

Pick: Patriots -7

Rationale: While the Browns’ defense is formidable, the Patriots’ offense, led by the efficient Drake Maye, should be able to exploit Cleveland’s vulnerabilities. The Patriots’ home-field advantage and the Browns’ struggles as road underdogs make New England the safer bet.

Score Prediction: Patriots 24, Browns 13

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