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Arizona State vs Utah — Date, Time & TV
- Matchup: Arizona State Sun Devils at Utah Utes
- Date/Time: Saturday, Oct 11, 2025 — 10:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Venue: Rice-Eccles Stadium (Salt Lake City, UT)
Arizona State vs Utah Odds — Opening Board (Oct 6)
- Spread: Utah −6 / Arizona State +6
- Moneyline: Utah −225 / Arizona State +185
- Total: 48
- Opening Notes: Most shops opened Utah −5.5 and 47.5; professional bettors hit Utah early, forcing movement to −6 before market equilibrium returned.
Line Movement & Market Reaction
- Early steam: Utah −5.5 to −6 on respected money; move triggered mostly at sharper market-making books.
- Totals action: 47.5 → 48 after models projected more possessions and short fields. Quick buyback kept it below 49.
- Current consensus: Utah −6 (−105), total steady at 48; minimal appetite to move off key numbers.
- Sharp vs public divide: Sharps backing Utah −5.5 early; public now leaning favorite but smaller average ticket size.
Public Betting Snapshot
- Spread tickets: 63% on Utah −6, money 55% on Arizona State +6 — slight split between public and sharper positions.
- Total tickets: 58% Over 48, but handle nearly even, showing balanced exposure for oddsmakers.
- Moneyline handle: Utah ~70% of tickets, ASU value seekers grabbing +185 at reduced juice.
Injuries & Situational Angles
- Arizona State: Offense healthy; OL depth continues to rotate. Passing efficiency uptick visible vs man coverage last two weeks.
- Utah: Defense full strength; WR room remains light. Expect heavier run-pass ratio early.
- Edge: Utah’s trench control justifies the line move, but ASU’s explosive-play profile offers backdoor potential.
Key Numbers & Market Clusters
- Spread clusters: 5.5 → 6 → 6.5 — little appetite for move past 6 due to low total.
- Total pivots: 47.5 and 48.5 are decision points; Over buyers want ≤47.5, Under players lean at 48.5+.
- Market correlation: If total drops below 47.5, ASU +6 gains incremental value; higher tempo favors Utah cover probabilities.
Expert Pick & Buy Points
Pick: Arizona State +6 (−115)
- Buy up to: +6.5 (−120 or better)
- Sell down to: +5.5 (−105)
- Total lean: Under 48 for correlated side value.
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