Last Updated on October 4, 2025 6:58 am by Anthony Rome
Updated:
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: No. 9 Texas Longhorns at Florida Gators
- Date/Time: Saturday, October 4, 2025 — 3:30 p.m. ET
- TV: ABC/ESPN
- Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium (Gainesville, FL)
Texas vs Florida odds — Opening numbers
- Spread (open): Texas −6.5
- Moneyline (open): Texas −250 / Florida +200
- Total (open): 41.5
- Notes: Books posted Texas just under a TD with a low total driven by both defenses.
Texas vs Florida betting line — Current board
- Spread (now): Texas −5.5
- Moneyline (now): Texas ~−198 / Florida ~+190
- Total (now): 42.5
- Move read: Market flirting with −7; totals market holding firm in the low 40s.
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Public tickets — Spread & total
- ATS tickets: Majority backing Texas −6.5/−7.
- Total tickets: Slight lean Under matches the low total environment.
- Read: If −7 becomes consensus, you’ll likely see some Florida buyback at the key number.
Injuries & weather
- Injuries (Texas): RB room is banged up; depth backs have handled carries if starters sit. Monitor final availability.
- Injuries (Florida): Secondary dealing with absences; RB depth also thinned. Check game-day statuses.
- Weather: Gainesville forecast points to warm, humid conditions with light winds — minimal impact on totals.
Trends that matter
- Texas has traveled well in recent seasons; market confidence evident near a full TD on the road.
- Florida has been a tough home dog historically, especially at night; afternoon kick may temper Swamp edge slightly.
- Totals in Texas games often hinge on red-zone efficiency; low 40s imply slim margin for empty trips.
Expert pick & buy points
Pick: Texas −6.5 (play to −6.5 only).
- Buy up to: −6.5 (avoid −7 unless reduced juice)
- Sell down to: −5.5 if you want a parlay anchor at better juice
- Alt options: Under 41.5 lean; prefer live entry if early drives stall inside the 40s.
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