Steelers Patriots odds headline a classic AFC matchup in Week 3 as Pittsburgh visits Foxborough. Expect a defense-forward game where red-zone efficiency and turnovers decide it. Below, we lay out opening vs. current prices, live public betting splits, key injuries, weather, actionable trends, expert picks, and a Same Game Parlay build. For more coverage, hit our NFL hub and weekly SuperContest picks.
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Game Info & TV Coverage
- Date: Sunday, Sept. 21, 2025
- Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium — Foxborough, MA
- TV / Streaming: CBS (regional); NFL+ for replay
Steelers vs. Patriots Odds & Market Read
Opening odds: Patriots −1; Total 41.5
Current odds: Steelers −1.5 / Patriots +1.5 · Total 40.5
Movement: Market flipped off pick’em toward Pittsburgh on early money, while the total ticked down a point. If New England OL inactives stack up, we could see −2 or flat −2.5; a late Pats QB confirmation could nudge it back toward PK.
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Betting Splits & Line Movement
Public money: Slight majority of spread tickets on Pittsburgh; ML near 50/50.
Resistance points: Books defending −1.5/−2; buyback tends to show closer to PK. Total saw Under interest from 41.5→40.5.
See live NFL public betting splits on our chart
Injury Watch & Weather
- Steelers: RB rotation dinged; monitor WR depth. Defense intact — pass rush is the lever.
- Patriots: QB situation unsettled; OL pieces questionable. Secondary trending healthier.
Weather: Low 60s with light wind — minimal impact on passing/kicking. Movement reflects matchup, not weather.
NFL Betting Trends That Matter
- Steelers in September: 8–2 ATS last 10 — fast-start profile under Tomlin.
- Pats as home dogs (since 2020): 5–10 ATS — offense struggles to keep pace late.
- Foxborough Unders: 7–3 last 10 — conservative scripts, field-position battles.
- AFC North vs. AFC East: Steelers 6 covers in last 8 — defensive travel game translates.
Expert Picks & Best Bets
ATS Pick: Steelers −1.5. Defensive front can tilt field position; Pats’ QB/OL uncertainty caps ceiling.
Total Pick: Under 40.5 (play to 40). Expect red-zone stalls, 4th-and-short punts, and FGs.
Prop Pick: First-half Under 20.5. Scripted, risk-averse starts from both staffs.
Same Game Parlay Spotlight
Looking for a bigger payout? Blend moneyline, alt total, and a volatility leg.
- Leg 1: Steelers ML
- Leg 2: Under 43.5 (alt)
- Leg 3: Defensive/Special Teams TD (long shot)
Estimated payout: +750 to +900 depending on shop.
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How to Watch & Stream
Kickoff 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS. Replays available on NFL+ (subscription required).
See more NFL odds and previews on our NFL homepage.
Steelers’ pass rush vs. Patriots’ protection is the fulcrum. If Pittsburgh reaches −2.5, look live or buy a better price; if it slips toward PK, Steelers value improves.
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