Last Updated on September 19, 2025 1:23 pm by Michael Cash
No. 7 Florida State stays in Tallahassee for a lopsided Week 4 matchup against Kent State. Kickoff is 3:30 p.m. ET on ACC Network. We break down Florida State vs. Kent State odds, market read, public splits, injuries, weather, and our best bets — with context on how to approach such a massive spread. Looking for other ACC or Top 25 college football odds, picks or predictions? Check out our College Football previews and best bets for week 4.
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Snapshot: Game Info & TV Schedule
- Date: Saturday, Sept. 20, 2025
- Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Doak Campbell Stadium — Tallahassee, FL
- TV / Streaming: ACC Network
Florida State vs. Kent State Odds & Market Read
Spread: Florida State −44.5 (−120) / Kent State +44.5 (EVEN)
Total (O/U): 55.5 (O −115 / U −105)
Market read: Lines in the mid-40s rarely stay static — look for a half-point swing either side of −45. Seminoles’ backers should only lay −44.5/−44, while Kent grabs improve above +45. Totals have held near 55.5 with Over pressure if FSU is expected to score freely by halftime. Buy/Sell: Buy FSU −44.5 / Buy Kent +45 or better; lean Over 55.5 if tempo looks fast.
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Florida State vs. Kent State Betting Splits & Public Money
Public lean: Over 80% of tickets trend toward FSU ATS despite the monster number; sharper money waits for Kent +45/+45.5. Totals split evenly, with handle shading Over.
Line movement: Opened −43.5, quickly bet up; total toggling between 55–56. Expect limits to firm near kickoff.
See live CFB public betting splits on our chart
Key Injuries & Weather Impact
- Kent State: Secondary depth remains thin — explosive plays downfield likely against FSU’s starters.
- Florida State: Some rotation shuffling at WR; plenty of depth to exploit mismatches.
Weather: Warm and humid with low wind in Tallahassee; points should come freely if tempo sustains.
College Football Betting Trends That Matter
- Top-10 vs MAC: Ranked ACC programs often cover big spreads when motivated — beware early backdoor risk late.
- Totals mid-50s: Blowout scripts hinge on backups scoring in garbage time; Overs cash if reserves add late TDs.
- First-half lines: FSU −24.5 1H appeals if you expect an explosive start before rotations.
Expert Picks & Best Bets
ATS: Florida State −44.5 (price sensitive; avoid −45.5+). Kent only viable if you find +45/+45.5.
Total: Over 55.5 (if FSU’s offense clicks early; garbage-time TDs can push it over). Under is only playable if tempo looks slow live.
Portfolio idea: FSU 1H −24.5 + Over alt 28.5 1H — pairing an explosive start with scoreboard pressure before reserves enter.
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How to Watch & Stream the Game
Kickoff set for 3:30 p.m. ET on ACC Network. Local radio & school streams available in-market.
See more CFB odds and previews on our College Football homepage.
FSU should handle business, but massive spreads demand precision: buy −44.5 or better, or look for Kent +45/+45.5. Lean Over 55.5 on pace; first-half lines may be the cleanest angle.
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