Last Updated on August 24, 2025 10:15 pm by Anthony Rome
Let’s dive into the Aces at Sky matchup preview—where the surging Las Vegas Aces, riding a scorching win streak, face the struggling Chicago Sky. With Vegas laying around 10 to 11 points and totals floating in the low-160s, I’m unpacking the why, the how, and where the smart money might land.
Aces at Sky Matchup Preview: Vegas’ Dominance vs Chicago’s Collapse
The Aces enter this contest on fire, having won 12 of their last 13 games, with the most recent victory clinching them sole possession of third place and edging them closer to the No. 2 seed in the WNBA standings.
A’ja Wilson—the heartbeat of this surge—is thriving. During the streak, she’s been averaging a monstrous ~26 points and 13 rebounds per game, anchoring both ends of the floor.
Chicago heads into this one with a 9-27 record, clearly on the wrong side of the standings. They’re missing key contributors (like Ariel Atkins—GTD, and Courtney Vandersloot—out for the season), further hampering their rotation.
Betting Odds
According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook Bovada.lv, the Aces are 11-point road favorites to beat the Sky. The total, meanwhile, sits at 164 points.
Key Matchups and Storylines
A’ja Wilson – The X-Factor
Wilson isn’t just playing—she’s dominating. Her MVP candidacy has only strengthened, and against a Sky team missing offensive rhythm and defensive stops, she’s poised to exploit mismatches.
Depth Discrepancy
Vegas has depth—players like Chelsea Gray, Jewell Loyd, and NaLyssa Smith have stepped up during the win streak. In contrast, Chicago’s rotation is thinned out, lessening their capacity to sustain pressure.
Over/Under Leanings
Chicago has leaned Over in recent games, especially when Angel Reese plays—she’s 7-0 to the Over in her last seven outings. Meanwhile, Vegas’ offense has surged to the top of the league, posting an offensive rating of 114.8 during this stretch.
Betting Prediction
My call: I see Las Vegas winning by around 12 points, something like Aces 88, Sky 76. That aligns with sharp betting lines and reflects Vegas’ form and Chicago’s disarray.
Play suggestion: Lean Aces -10.5 to -11. And yes, take Over 162.5, with a nod toward Over 164 if lines shift that way.