Last Updated on July 10, 2025 12:13 am by Anthony Rome
The Rays (50–43) arrive in Boston riding a modest two-game losing streak, but they remain in solid form, having gone 22–18 on the road. They’ll send Taj Bradley (5–6, 4.79 ERA) to the mound, a strong workhorse who has posted 97⅔ innings with a 1.30 WHIP and 84 strikeouts. Bradley’s ability to limit walks will be a key factor against a potent Fenway lineup. What’s the best bet in tonight’s Rays vs. Red Sox matchup?
The Red Sox (49–45) continue their hot form, having won six straight and running off consecutive 10–2 victories over Colorado. Their offense is averaging over 9 runs per game in that stretch. Walker Buehler (6–6, 6.25 ERA) draws the start for Boston. Though his ERA is inflated, Buehler brings veteran experience to Fenway with a career 3–2 mark and 3.93 ERA in seven games at the ballpark this season.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox
7:05 p.m. ET, Thursday, July 10, 2025
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Rays vs. Red Sox Betting Odds
According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook Bovada.lv, the Rays are -115 moneyline favorites to beat the Red Sox, who are -105 moneyline underdogs. The total, meanwhile, is sitting at 9 runs.
Rays vs. Red Sox Public Betting: Bettors Backing Boston
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 60% of the bets are on the Red Sox moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Matchup Analysis
Bullpen & Trends: Boston’s bullpen has been more reliable lately, aided by aggressive offense. Meanwhile, Ray’s can rely on Bradley’s modest strikeout rate (7.74 K/9) to keep things manageable.
Head-to-Head Feud: The Red Sox hold a slight edge in this rivalry, winning 2 of 3 earlier matchups this season and currently riding a two-game winning streak in the series.
Line & Totals: Odds favor Boston narrowly (≈52% win probability per ESPN), with a tight over/under of 9–9.5. Public betting shows 60% support for the Rays on the moneyline, while totals trend toward the over, especially in the Sox’s recent blowouts.
Keys to the Game
Run Support vs. ERA Disparity – Boston’s lineup, featuring stars like Jarren Duran and Trevor Story, will aim to exploit Bradley’s mid-4.79 ERA. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay needs early offense to alleviate pressure on Bradley and challenge Buehler.
Bullpen Depth – If Bradley struggles to go deep, the burden falls on a shaky Rays pen. Boston’s relievers, backed by confidence from recent outings, may control the late innings.
Continue Boston’s Momentum – Riding a wave of six consecutive wins, the Red Sox are firmly in summer surge mode. Allowing high scores while also generating them, they’re positioned to extend both trends.
Rays vs. Red Sox MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Expect a mid-range tone setter: runs early, bullpen swings late. Buehler may continue to stifle the Rays’ offense, while Boston piles on with momentum-driven scoring. A 6–4 or 7–5 win for the Red Sox seems plausible, with the over 9 looking like a smart play.
Rays vs. Red Sox MLB Playoffs Prediction: OVER 9