Rays v. Orioles, 9/16/23 MLB Betting Odds, Prediction & Trends

Last Updated on September 16, 2023 4:19 pm by Brad Burns

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction

Tyler Galsnow plans to start for the Rays against Grayson Rodriguez. Baltimore holds a shrinking lead over Tampa for the AL East crown. In their final season series against each other every win counts. How will playoff implications change how to bet the game tonight?

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

967 Tampa Bay Rays (-120) vs. 968 Baltimore Orioles (+108); o/u 7.5

7:10 PM ET, Saturday, September 16h, 2023

Oriole Park and Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

MLB Public Betting Information 

At the time of writing The Spread’s MLB Public Betting page shows 90% of moneyline wagers have been placed on the Rays. 

Player Spotlight

Grayson Rodriguez has a 5-4 record on the season with a 4.88 ERA. In two games against Tampa this season he has a 3.18 ERA, one win, and ten strikeouts. 

Tyler Galsnow has a 9-5 record this year. Total of 142 strikeouts on the year, tied for 43rd most in the league this year. He has had rough starts against the Orioles this year. Two starts, no wins, and a 6.35 ERA.  

MLB Betting Trends   

Rays are 39-34 in their road games against the spread 

Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread

The totals have gone over in 33 of Orioles’ 72 last games at home 

Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread 

MLB BETTING PREDICTION:

This series could make or break the division title. I expect focused disciplined baseball to be played after last night’s high run game. The variance in quality each started has shown in past matchups points towards them having a short leash early on. Even with each team having a strong batting lineup I expect the tension to be elevated and runs to be constricted. Bet the under. 

MLB BETTING PREDICTION: RAYS/ORIOLES UNDER 7.5