Last Updated on June 12, 2023 2:24 pm by Anthony Rome
Heat vs. Nuggets O/U Game 5 Prediction
Game 5 of the NBA Finals will be held at Ball Arena in Denver, CO on Monday night when the Nuggets host the Heat at 8:30 p.m. ET. With Miami’s backs against the wall, will these two teams provide enough offense to get over the 208.5-point total?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
521 Miami Heat (+9) at 522 Denver Nuggets (-9); o/u 208.5
8:30 p.m. ET, Monday, June 12, 2023
Ball Arena, Denver, CO
TV: ABC
Heat vs. Nuggets Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 59% of public bettors are currently backing the Heat when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Miami Heat DFS Spin
Tyler Herro (fractured right hand) has been ruled out for Monday’s game against the Nuggets. Monday’s game could potentially be the last of the season for the Heat, as they returned to Denver in a 3-1 hole. And unless something changes since the release of the initial injury report, Herro will not be available. Max Strus will continue to start, and Miami needs more production from him and Gabe Vincent as they look to extend their season.
Denver Nuggets DFS Spin
Nikola Jokic accounted for 23 points (8-of-19 FGs, 4-of-4 FTs), 12 rebounds, four assists, three steals, three blocks, and three 3-pointers in 37 minutes in Friday’s 108-95 win over Miami. Despite dealing with a more active Miami defense and foul trouble, Jokic still managed to record a gaudy stat line. While the two-time MVP didn’t post another triple-double, he did make some history. Jokic is the first player in league history to account for at least 500 points, 250 rebounds, and 150 assists in a single postseason. Simply put, the Heat haven’t had an answer for Jokic. But we can say that about the entire NBA at this point. Jokic and the Nuggets will look to close out the series on Monday, with a win giving the franchise its first NBA title.
Heat vs. Nuggets NBA Playoff Betting Trends
Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver
Heat are 10-28 ATS in the last 38 meetings
Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games
Heat are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall
Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall
Nuggets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games
Heat vs. Nuggets NBA Playoff Prediction:
The over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these two teams and is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams at Ball Arena. The over is also 4-1 in the Heat’s last five games versus a team with a winning record and has cashed in 11 of their last 15 road games. On the other side, the over is 11-4 in the Nuggets’ last 15 games versus a team with a winning record.
NBA FINALS GAME 5 OVER/UNDER PREDICTION: HEAT/NUGGETS OVER 208.5