MLB Predictions: Is the under a good bet when Mets host Rockies? 7/15/17

Last Updated on July 15, 2017 5:00 pm by Anthony Rome

Rockies vs. Mets Prediction

Is the under a good bet to cash when the Mets host the Rockies at 7:10PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Mets are -110 money line favorites versus the Rockies, who have odds of +100 to pull off the upset. With Tyler Chatwood set to face Seth Lugo in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 9 runs.

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Latest on Chatwood via Rotoworld: Chatwood recorded a rare quality start at Coors Field but still lost to the Reds on Thursday, yielding three runs over six innings. The first three batters of the game reached off of Chatwood, but he held the damage to one run that frame. He was in trouble most of the day with eight hits and four walks allowed but was able to escape without giving up too much damage. It was Chatwood’s third quality start in eight tries at Coors in the first half.

Lugo was charged with a season-high six runs over five innings in a loss to the Nationals on Tuesday. Lugo started out strong before the Nationals got to him in the third inning. He gave up five straight hits to begin the fifth inning, which put the game out of reach. Lugo’s ERA jumped from 3.55 to 4.75 with the clunker. He mostly carries streaming appeal in mixed fantasy leagues.

Bet Tonight’s Rockies vs. Mets Game

OUR PREDICTION: The under has cashed in 13 of the last 19 meetings despite it going over last night in New York’s blowout victory. The under is also 13-4 in the last 17 meetings in New York and is 4-0 in Chatwood’s last four starts against the Mets. The under is 10-2-1 in the Rockies’ last 13 games overall, is 4-1-1 in their last six road games, and is 8-1-3 in Chatwood’s last 12 starts as well. On the other side, the under is 4-0-1 in Lugo’s last five starts after allowing two runs or less in their previous game.

 

SATURDAY MLB PREDICTION: ROCKIES/METS UNDER 9