Will over cash once more in Red Sox vs. Brewers matchup? MLB 5/11/17

Last Updated on May 11, 2017 12:07 pm by Anthony Rome

Red Sox vs. Brewers Prediction

Will the over cash once more when the Red Sox and Brewers wrap up their series at 1:10PM ET today in Milwaukee?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Red Sox are -130 money line favorites versus the Brewers, who have odds of +120 to pull off the upset today in Milwaukee. With Eduardo Rodriguez set to face Jimmy Nelson in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 9 runs, down from the original number of 9.5.

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RED SOX KEY TRENDS: The Red Sox have lost 14 of their last 20 road games after falling 7-4 last night to the Brewers. They’re also just 3-7 in Rodriguez’s last 10 starts when he pitches the third game of a series and are winless at 0-4 in his last four outings coming off five days of rest in between starts.

BREWERS KEY TRENDS: The Brewers are hot, winners of six of their last eight home games and four in a row versus American League competition. That said, they’re 1-4 in Nelson’s last five home starts, are 7-20 in his last 27 outings and are 2-7 in Nelson’s last nine home starts versus a team with a winning record.

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OUR PREDICTION: The over is a perfect 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams in Milwaukee and 10-4 in the last 14 meetings overall. The over has also cashed in 12 of the Brewers’ last 14 home games, is 11-2 in their last 13 games following a win, and is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games overall. The over is also a perfect 4-0 in the Red Sox’ last four games overall.

 

THURSDAY MLB PREDICTION: RED SOX/BREWERS OVER 9