Bowling Green vs. Wisconsin Pick
MADISON, WI (The Spread) – Bowling Green will look to pull off back-to-back upsets of Big Ten programs when the Falcons visit No. 19 Wisconsin at 12:00PM ET.
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Bowling green topped Indiana 45-42 last week as Travis Greene rushed for 123 yards and a touchdown on 24 carries. Quarterback James Knapke also put the ball in the air 73 times in the victory, completing 46 passes for 395 yards with three touchdowns and one interception. Roger Lewis was the leading receiver for the Falcons as he caught 16 passes for 149 yards and a touchdown.
One week after collapsing in a 28-24 loss to LSU in their opener, the Badgers bounced back a week ago to beat Western Illinois 37-3. Perhaps still stinging from their loss to LSU, Wisconsin got off to a slow start but pulled away with four unanswered second-half touchdowns. Quarterback Tanner McIvoy threw an interception in the win but also tossed three touchdowns and added another score on the ground.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, Wisconsin is a 27-point favorite over Bowling Green, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 63.5 points. The Badgers opened as 17-point favorites at some Vegas books before the number shot up to 27, while the total opened at 64.5 before dropping down a full point.
NCAA FREE PICK: Take Wisconsin. According to latest college football trends, the Badgers are 10-1 against the spread in their last 11 games following a bye week, 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games in September and 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Wisconsin is also 20-8-1 against the number in its last 29 home games, 8-3 ATS in its last 11 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 39-19-2 ATS in its last 60 games after allowing less than 20 points in its previous game. The Falcons, meanwhile, are just 5-11 against the spread in their last 16 games following a bye week.
2014 COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 4 FREE PICK: WISCONSIN BADGERS -27
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