Last Updated on May 30, 2011 7:19 pm by drew
NBA Finals Exact Games Odds
(TheSpread) – The 2011 NBA Finals get underway on Tuesday and the 2-3-2 Finals format makes the odds on exact games very interesting.
Miami faces Dallas in the 2011 Finals, with Miami having the home court edge, meaning Miami will have the first two and last two games at home in the series.. According to oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com the scenario that is most likely to happen is Miami winning in 7 games, which has a money line of +250. For Dallas, their most likely scenario to win is in 6 games, as it has odds of +450 to happen.
The Finals game format tends to favor the team with home-court advantage as it is difficult to win this series in five games, which is the only chance the lower seed has to win at home while still losing a game.
Since 1990, the Finals has went 5 games or less, 9 times. In that span, the Finals has went 7 games just three times. If that is the case this year, the odds for that to happen are +250 for Miami and +550 for Dallas.
A sweep has also only happened three times in Finals history since 1990. The odds for that to happen are Miami at +1000 and Dallas at +2500.
In the 2006 Finals, Miami prevailed in six games after falling behind 2-0 in the series. The home team won every game in the series except for the deciding Game 6.
For complete odds on the Exact Games for the 2011 NBA Finals, see below.
Exact Games Odds for the 2011 NBA Finals
4 Games Heat Win +1000
4 Games Mavs Win +2500
5 Games Heat Win +300
5 Games Mavs Win +1200
6 Games Heat Win +350
6 Games Mavs Win +450
7 Games Heat Win +250
7 Games Mavs Win +550
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