2010 Fiesta Bowl Boise State vs. TCU Picks & Predictions

Last Updated on January 4, 2010 12:00 pm by drew

Fiesta Bowl Pick

Two unbeatens look for a perfect season and an outside shot at a co-national championship when Boise State and TCU meet in the 2010 Fiesta Bowl Monday at 8PM ET from

University of
Phoenix Stadium.

Bet The Fiesta Bowl

Boise
State is 13-0 on the year and 8-4 against the spread. The Broncos have failed to cover in their last two games, but hold a BCS bowl win already when they defeated

Oklahoma in the 2006 Fiesta Bowl.

TCU is 12-0 this season and 8-3 against the spread. The Horned Frogs have dominated their way through the season, winning 10 games by 16 points or more.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL have made TCU 7-point favorites over

Boise
State on Monday night. The over/under total for this game has been established at 53.

Boise
State is scoring a nation-high 44.2 points per-game and averaging 460.5 yards of offense per-game. Kellen Moore has thrown for 3,325 yards and 39 touchdowns with just three interceptions on the year while Jeremy Avery has rushed for 1,131 yards and six touchdowns. TCU allows just 12.4 points and 233.3 yards per-game on defense. The Horned Frogs have given up just 966 rushing yards over 12 games.

TCU is posting 40.7 points and 469.1 yards of offense per-game this season. Andy Dalton has thrown for 2,484 yards and 22 touchdowns, but TCU has four different rushers with over 500 yards on the season, including

Dalton. The Broncos are allowing just 17.7 points and 299.6 points per-game on defense.

This game seems to be a great matchup of two teams that both have very strong offenses and very strong defenses. TCU has made easier work of its opponents and the Mountain West Conference has played very well in the bowls. Despite that, a 7-point spread seems high for two undefeated teams and for two teams as established as these two. The oddsmakers must know something, and earlier this year TCU has had some high spreads against quality teams that it covered easily. For that reason, we suggest a pick of TCU minus the points and the under in this game.

Our Fiesta Bowl Free Pick for this matchup is: TCU -7 and UNDER 53.
College Football Bowl Season Betting Trends
TCU is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

TCU is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

TCU is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

TCU is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

TCU is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

BOISE ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

BOISE ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

BOISE ST is 59-23 ATS (+33.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

BOISE ST is 54-32 ATS (+18.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

BOISE ST is 54-21 ATS (+30.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

BOISE ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

BOISE ST is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons

TCU is 1-0 straight up against

BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games in this series since 1992

TCU is 1-1 against the spread versus

BOISE ST since 1992

TCU is 1-1 straight up against

BOISE ST since 1992

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons 

TCU is 1-0 straight up against

BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons 

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

Boise
State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of

Boise
State‘s last 5 games

TCU is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Bowl Season College Football Injury Report
BOISE ST

[RB] 09/12/2009 – Andy Silsby out for season ( ACL ) 

[C] 08/20/2009 – Cory Yriarte out for season ( Knee ) 

[RB] 09/27/2009 – DJ Harper out for season ( Leg ) 

[RB] 12/05/2009 – Matt Kaiserman out for season ( Leg ) 

[TE] 11/16/2009 – Richie Brockel out for season ( Foot ) 

[WR] 12/07/2009 – Austin Pettis "?" vs TCU in the Fiesta Bowl ( Ankle ) 

[WR] 12/07/2009 – Tyler Shoemaker "?" vs TCU in the Fiesta Bowl ( Hernia ) 

[LB] 12/05/2009 – Daron Mackey out for season ( Leg ) 

[LB] 12/07/2009 – Derrell Acrey "?" vs TCU in the Fiesta Bowl ( Leg ) 

TCU

No significant injuries.
Fiesta Bowl Odds
Boise
State Broncos +7 Over 53 (+220)

TCU Horned Frogs -7 Under 53 (-300)
Bet The Fiesta Bowl
Posted: 1/4/10 12:00PM ET