2010 Capital One Bowl LSU vs. Penn State Picks & Predictions

Last Updated on January 1, 2010 10:06 am by drew

Capital One Bowl Pick

Two prominent college football programs meet in the 2010 Capital One Bowl Friday at 1PM ET when LSU faces Penn State from Citrus Bowl Stadium.

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LSU is 9-3 on the season and 5-6-1 against the spread. The Tigers have won two of their last three, but failed to cover in three of their last four.

Penn
State is 10-2 on the year and 6-6 against the spread.

Penn
State has won two in a row and seven of their last eight, but failed to cover in two of their last three.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made

Penn
State 2-point favorites over LSU on Friday afternoon. The over/under total for this game has been established at 43.5.

LSU has not been strong on offense averaging just 25.5 points and 309.7 yards per-game. Jordan Jefferson has thrown for 1,964 yards and 16 touchdowns to lead the LSU offense.

Penn
State has held opponents to 11.8 points and 277.1 yards per-game this year on defense.

Penn
State is scoring 29.7 points per-game and posting 412 yards of offense per-game this season. Daryll Clark has thrown for 2,787 yards with 23 touchdowns while Evan Royster has rushed for 1,104 yards and six scores. The Tigers are holding opponents to just 16 points and 326 yards per-game on defense this season.

This game should be a showcase of two very good defenses, but the key to the pick is that

Penn
State has more offensive weapons and scoring ability than LSU. The Tigers have struggled to move the ball against top competition this season, and though

Penn
State comes from the Big Ten, it has a solid defense that can matchup with anyone. With the spread so low, this game is nearly a pick ‘em, so we suggest taking

Penn
State and the under.

Our Capital One Bowl Free Pick for this matchup is:

PENN
STATE -2 and UNDER 43.5.
College Football Bowl Season Betting Trends
LSU is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games

LSU is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

Penn
State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Penn
State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Bowl Season College Football Injury Report
LSU

[RB] 09/13/2009 – Richard Murphy out for season ( Knee ) 

[RB] 12/22/2009 – Charles Scott is downgraded to expected to miss Friday vs.

Penn
State ( Collarbone ) 

[RB] 11/22/2009 – Keiland Williams out for season ( Ankle ) 

PENN ST

[LB] 08/17/2009 – Michael Mauti out for season ( Knee ) 

[DT] 10/01/2009 –

Brandon Ware out indefinitely ( Foot ) 

[RB] 11/16/2009 – Brandon Beachum out for season ( Knee ) 

[OL/DL] 12/29/2009 – James Terry expected to miss Friday vs. LSU ( Disciplinary ) 
Capital One Bowl Odds
LSU Tigers +2 Over 43.5 (+110)

Penn State Nittany Lions -2 Under 43.5 (-130)
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Posted: 1/1/10 9:06AM ET