2009 Texas Bowl Navy vs. Missouri Picks & Predictions

Last Updated on December 31, 2009 12:00 pm by drew

Texas Bowl Pick

Navy looks to cap one of its best seasons in school history with a bowl win on Thursday as the Midshipmen meet
Missouri in the 2009

Texas Bowl at 3:30PM ET from Reliant Stadium.

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Navy is 9-4 on the year and 5-6-1 against the spread. The Midshipmen have won three of their last four but failed to cover in their last two games.

Missouri is 8-4 on the year and 4-7 against the spread. The Tigers won their last three games of the season but have failed to cover in three of their last four.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made

Missouri 6.5-point favorites over Navy on Thursday afternoon. The over/under total for this game has been established at 52.

Navy is scoring 27.5 points per-game thanks to its strong rushing attack which averages 272.4 yards per-game. Ricky Dobbs has led the way with 1,037 yards rushing and 24 touchdowns while also passing for 901 yards and five scores. The Tigers are holding opponents to 24.6 points and 358 yards per-game.

Missouri has been very strong against the run, holing opponents to just 96.4 yards on the ground per-game.

Missouri is scoring 30.3 points per-game on offense and has a strong passing attack led by Blaine Gabbert. Gabbert has thrown for 3,302 yards and 23 touchdowns this season. Receiver Danario Alexander has caught 107 passes for 1,644 yards and 13 scores. The Navy defense is holding opponents to 19.9 points and 333.6 yards per-game.

This game will come down to Navy’s ability to move the ball on offense.

Missouri has a strong rushing attack but will likely give up more than just 96 yards rushing in this game. Still, Navy’s offense is entirely based on the running game, so the Midshipmen will need about 250 yards on the ground to win, which we don’t think it will get.

Missouri has an offense that can put up some points, and Navy will struggle to keep up. Trends show that

Missouri is 9-0 against the spread as a favorite of 3.5-10 points over the last three years and we suggest going with the Tigers in this game.

Our Texas Bowl Free Pick for this matchup is:

MISSOURI -6.5 and OVER 52.
College Football Bowl Season Betting Trends
Top Trends for this game.

MISSOURI is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

NAVY is 109-79 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all games since 1992.

NAVY is 109-79 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

NAVY is 71-44 ATS (+22.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

NAVY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in December games since 1992.

NAVY is 57-27 ATS (+27.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

MISSOURI is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Navy is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Navy is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

Missouri is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

Missouri is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Bowl Season College Football Injury Report
NAVY

No significant injuries.

MISSOURI

[LB] 10/17/2009 – Josh Tatum out indefinitely ( Back ) 

[LB] 10/28/2009 – Luke Lambert out for season ( Shoulder ) 

[S] 11/09/2009 – Hardy Ricks out for season ( Leg ) 

[WR] 12/25/2009 – Jared Perry is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. Navy ( Leg ) 

[K] 12/20/2009 – Tanner Mills "?" Thursday vs. Navy ( Hip ) 

[WR] 12/25/2009 – Rolandis Woodland probable Thursday vs. Navy ( Personal )
Texas Bowl Odds
Navy Midshipmen +6.5 Over 52 (+210)

Missouri Tigers -6.5 Under 52 (-270)
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Posted: 12/31/09 12:00PM ET