2009 Champs Sports Bowl Wisconsin vs. Miami Picks & Predictions

Last Updated on December 29, 2009 4:00 pm by drew

Champs Bowl Pick

The Big Ten Conference is hoping for a big win on Tuesday night when
Wisconsin
faces

Miami
in the 2009 Champs Sports Bowl at 8PM ET from Citrus Bowl Stadium.

Bet The Champs Sports Bowl


Wisconsin
went 9-3 this season and was 5-6 against the spread on the year. The Badgers can give the Big Ten Conference a win in their bowl debut for the year, as the conference went just 1-6 in bowl games last year.


Miami
is 9-3 this year and 6-6 against the spread. The Hurricanes won their last two games of the season, but have failed to cover in four of their last six games.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made
Miami 3.5-point favorites over

Wisconsin
on Tuesday night. The over/under total for this game has been established at 57.


Wisconsin
has scored the most points in the Big Ten, posting 32.8 points per-game. The Badgers have the top rushing attack in the conference, led by John Clay, who has rushed for 1,396 yards and 16 touchdowns this year.

Miami
is holding opponents to 22.3 points per-game defensively, but the Hurricanes have been balanced on defense, not dominating in the air or on the ground.


Miami
is scoring 31.7 points per-game, thanks mostly to quarterback Jacory Harris. Harris has thrown for 3,164 yards and 23 touchdowns this season, but has also thrown 17 interceptions this year.

Wisconsin
is holding teams to 22.4 points and 310.4 yards per-game on the season. The Badgers have the second best rushing defense in the Big Ten, limiting teams to only 90.5 rushing yards per-game this season.

Years ago this bowl would seem like a great matchup, but the Big Ten’s inability to play out of conference makes

Miami
the easy pick in this game. The Hurricanes have the home field advantage, they have superior athletes, and they have played a tougher schedule. The Badgers just don’t have the talent to run the ball over

Miami
.
Wisconsin’s only hope is for Harris to turn the ball over, but with a month of preparation, he should have a solid game against

Wisconsin
. Trends support this pick as the Badgers are only 2-10 against the spread in grass games and 5-14 ATS against teams with winning records.

Our Champs Sports Bowl Free Pick for this matchup is:

MIAMI
-3.5 and UNDER 57.
College Football Bowl Season Betting Trends


WISCONSIN
is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.


WISCONSIN
is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


Wisconsin
is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of

Wisconsin
‘s last 5 games


Miami
is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games


Miami
is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Bowl Season College Football Injury Report


WISCONSIN

[OL] 12/12/2009 – Josh Oglesby is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs.

Miami
Florida
( Knee ) 

[C] 12/12/2009 – Peter Konz doubtful Tuesday vs.

Miami
Florida
( Lung ) 

[OG] 12/22/2009 – Bill Nagy expected to miss Tuesday vs.

Miami
Florida
( Foot ) 


MIAMI

[DE] 09/05/2009 – Gavin Hardin out for season ( Neck ) 

[LB] 09/05/2009 – Shayon Green out for season ( Lower Body ) 

[DE] 08/21/2009 – Adewale Ojomo out for season ( Jaw ) 

[FB] 11/21/2009 – Patrick Hill out indefinitely ( Ankle ) 

[CB] 10/10/2009 – Ryan Hill out for season ( Shoulder ) 

[TE] 10/10/2009 – Richard Gordon out for season ( Shoulder ) 

[DT] 10/12/2009 – Marcus Forston out for season ( Ankle ) 

[LB] 10/13/2009 – Jordan Futch out for season ( Knee ) 

[S] 11/21/2009 – JoJo Nicolas out for season ( Shoulder ) 

[DL] 11/05/2009 – Dyron Dye out indefinitely ( Lower Body ) 

[OT] 12/19/2009 – Jason Fox is downgraded to expected to miss Tuesday vs.

Wisconsin
( Knee ) 

[DE] 12/07/2009 – Eric Moncur "?" Tuesday vs.

Wisconsin
( Calf ) 

[QB] 12/23/2009 – Jacory Harris probable Tuesday vs.
Wisconsin ( Thumb ) 
Champs Sports Bowl Odds

Wisconsin
Badgers +3.5 Over 57 (+155)


Miami
Hurricanes -3.5 Under 57 (-175)
Bet The Champs Sports Bowl
Posted: 12/29/09 4:00PM ET