NCAA Football Odds & Trends: Week 6 Picks Michigan at Iowa

Last Updated on October 10, 2009 5:24 pm by shah

Big Ten Meeting

No. 12
Iowa has quickly become a Big Ten contender, but on Saturday the Hawkeyes will have to fend off a

Michigan
team fighting for survival in the conference race.

The Hawkeyes will host the Wolverines from Kinnick Stadium on Saturday at 8PM ET.

Bet Michigan at Iowa


Iowa is off to its best start in 14 years at 5-0, including a 21-10 win over

Penn
State
. The Hawkeyes have had to close calls at home against lesser opponents, beating
Arkansas
State by three last week and
Northern Iowa by one in the season opener. Ricky Stanzi has thrown for 1,075 yards and eight touchdowns on the season, but has seven interceptions. Adam Robinson has 359 yards rushing with four scores. The Hawkeyes rank second to last in the Big Ten in points scored per-game, but on defense,

Iowa
is first in the conference in fewest yards allowed and rushing yards allowed. Tyler Sash leads the nation in interceptions, as he has five on the year to lead the

Iowa
defense.

Michigan is coming off its first loss of the season, a 26-20 defeat to

Michigan
State
. The Wolverines were playing on the road for the first time in the loss and were held to just 28 yards rushing as a team. Tate Forcier has thrown for 894 yards and nine touchdowns as a true freshman, while Carlos Brown has led the

Michigan
running game with 336 yards and three scores.

Michigan
ranks second in the Big Ten in rushing yards and points scored, but defensively, the Wolverines rank near the bottom of the conference in passing yards and rushing yards allowed.

Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made
Iowa 8-point home favorites over

Michigan
on Saturday night. The over/under total for this game has been established at 48.

College Football Week 6 Betting Trends
All games in this series since 1992

IOWA is 8-3 against the spread versus

MICHIGAN
since 1992

MICHIGAN is 9-2 straight up against

IOWA
since 1992

4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

All games played at

IOWA
since 1992

IOWA is 4-1 against the spread versus

MICHIGAN
since 1992

MICHIGAN is 4-1 straight up against

IOWA
since 1992

2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992


MICHIGAN
is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.


MICHIGAN
is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

MICHIGAN: 3-8 ATS vs.

Iowa


IOWA
: 10-1 Under off non-conf game


Michigan
is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road


Michigan
is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road


Iowa
is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Week 6 College Football Injury Report
MICHIGAN

[C] 09/21/2009 – David Molk expected to miss 4-6 weeks ( Foot ) 


IOWA

[RB] 09/01/2009 – Jewel Hampton out for season ( Knee ) 

[RB] 08/28/2009 – Jayme Murphy out for season ( Back ) 

[TE] 10/03/2009 – Tony Moeaki missed last game, "?" Saturday vs.

Michigan
( Ankle ) 

[DB] 10/03/2009 – Shane Prater missed last game, "?" Saturday vs.

Michigan
( Knee )

Michigan at Iowa Current Odds


Michigan
Wolverines +8 Over 48 (+260)


Iowa
Hawkeyes -8 Under 48 (-340)

Player Props:

Total rushing yards for Tate Forcier (MI): Over/Under 25.5

Total passing yards for Forcier: Over/Under 198.5

Total pass attempts for Forcier: Over/Under 29.5

Total touchdown passes for Forcier: Over/Under 1.5

Total rushing attempts for Brandon Minor (MI): Over/Under 13.5

Total receptions for Darryl Stonum (MI): Over/Under 3.5

Total receptions for Kevin Kroger (MI): Over/Under 1.5

Total receptions for Junior Hemingway (MI): Over/Under 2.5

Total passing yards for Ricky Stanzi (

IOWA
):
Over/Under 199.5

Total touchdown passes + interceptions for Stanzi: Over/Under 2.5

Total rushing yards for Adam Robinson (

IOWA
):
Over/Under 74.5

Total rushing attempts for Robinson: Over/Under 16.5

Total rushing attempts for Brandon Wegher (

IOWA
):
Over/Under 13.5

Total receiving yards for Marvin McNutt (

IOWA
):
Over/Under 48.5

Total receptions for Trey Stross (

IOWA
):
Over/Under 3.5

Total receptions for Allen Reisner (

IOWA
):
Over/Under 2.5

Bet Michigan at Iowa

Posted: 10/10/09 5:24PM ET