| 2009 Week 16 NFL Free Pick: Chargers vs. Titans Picks and Predictions |
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| Written by Anthony Rome |
| Friday, 25 December 2009 07:00 |
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Chargers vs. Titans Pick
The Tennessee Titans will put their slim playoff hopes on the line when they host the San Diego Chargers at 7:30PM ET on Christmas Night. The Chargers beat the Bengals 27-24 as a 7-point favorite in Week 15, as the combined score went over the posted total of 44 points. Quarterback Philip Rivers threw for 308 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions for San Diego, while wideout Vincent Jackson hauled in five passes for 108 yards with two scores in the victory. The Titans beat the Dolphins 27-24 in overtime as a 5-point favorite in Week 15, while the combined score went over the posted total of 43. Signal caller Vince Young threw for 236 yards with three touchdowns and an interception for Tennessee, while running back Chris Johnson rushed for 104 yards on 29 carries. Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Titans 3-point favorites over the Chargers in Week 16. The over/under total for tonight’s game has been set at 47 points. Some trends to keep in mind for this game are San Diego is 5-2 against the spread in its last seven games and 4-1 ATS in its lat five games on the road. The Bolts are also 5-0 ATS in their last five games when playing Tennessee. The first thing that jumped out at us when handicapping this game is that the total is set too high. The Chargers average 27.8 points per game and have scored well on the road as of late, but Tennessee has limited opponents to 24, 7 and 17 points in their last three home games. We think the total will fall under the 47 points that oddsmakers have set for this game, and we recommend that as our free pick prediction. As for the side, the Chargers have already locked up the No. 2 seed in the playoffs and while their regulars are expected to start, we doubt that they’ll play all four quarters with nothing on the line. Meanwhile, the Titans are fighting for their playoff lives and need to win out to even have a shot of making the postseason. We see value in the Titans –3 in this contest, even though their recent trends against San Diego don’t favor our pick. Our NFL Week 16 Free Pick for this matchup is: TENNESSEE TITANS -3 and UNDER 47. Chargers vs. Titans Current Odds 101 San Diego Chargers +3 Over 47 102 Tennessee Titans –3 Under 47 San Diego is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games All games in this series since 1992 SAN DIEGO is 5-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE since 1992 SAN DIEGO is 6-1 straight up against TENNESSEE since 1992 4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games over the last 3 seasons SAN DIEGO is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons SAN DIEGO is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons All games played at TENNESSEE since 1992 SAN DIEGO is 2-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE since 1992 SAN DIEGO is 2-1 straight up against TENNESSEE since 1992 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 Games played at TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons 0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons Posted: 12/25/09 12:00PM ET |
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