Phillies vs. Nationals Free Pick

phillies nationals mlb free pick predictions odds trends

WASHINGTON, D.C. (ATS Consultants) – This is the first game of a three-game series. Philadelphia has won two straight, while Washington is coming off losing 2 of 3 to St. Louis. Kyle Kendrick takes the mound for the Phillies, while John Lannan goes to the hill for the Nationals. The opening pitch starts at 7:05pmET from Nationals Park in Washington D.C.

ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Nats as a -140 favorite over the Phils. The total is 8.5 in most books. The Phils come in with a 80-79 record and are 83-70 Over, while the Nats are 96-63 overall and are 79-70 Over.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Nats opened as a -145 favorite and moved to -140 in most books. The total started at 8.5 and remained there in most books.

View Latest 2012 World Series Odds

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 76% of public bettors favor the Phillies. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.

MLB FREE PICK: Take Washington. According to the latest MLB trends, the Phillies are 3-12 in their last 15 road games vs. a left-handed starter,  1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record, 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter, 2-5 in Kendrick's last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game, 2-6 in Kendrick's last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record and are 2-10 in Kendrick's last 12 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game,  24-9 in their last 33 games following a loss, 20-8 in their last 28 games as a home favorite, 18-8 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record, 4-0 in Lannan's last 4 starts vs. National League East, 8-3 in Lannan's last 11 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game and are 5-2 in Lannan's last 7 starts with 4 days of rest. Washington can clinch the National League East with a victory over the Phils. The Nationals have a three-game lead over the second-place Atlanta Braves with three games to play and the next Washington victory or Atlanta loss will sew up the division crown. The Nationals are also tied with the Cincinnati Reds for the NL's top record. Kendrick lasted just two innings and gave up five runs on three homers against the Nationals on Wednesday. He is 1-2 with a 3.86 ERA against Washington this season and 3-5 with a 5.06 ERA in 18 career appearances (16 starts) against the Nationals.Lannan received the victory while opposing Kendrick and allowed two runs and five hits in 5 1/3 innings. He is 2-0 with a no-decision in three September starts since replacing Stephen Strasburg in the rotation. Lannan hasn't allowed a homer in five big-league starts this season.

MONDAY MLB FREE PICK: WASHINGTON NATIONALS -140

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