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Red Sox vs. Orioles Free Pick

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BALTIMORE, MD (ATS Consultants) – American League East rivals square off at Camden Yards tonight at 7:05PM ET when the Orioles host the Red Sox in a battle of potential playoff contenders.

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ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Orioles are -109 money line favorites over the Red Sox, who are +101 on the ML. With John Lackey set to face Chris Tillman in the pitching matchup, the total is currently sitting at 9 runs.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Orioles opened as -114 money line favorites but their odds have dropped to -109, while the Red Sox’s odds have gone from +105 down to +101. Boston enters play with a 61-42 record overall and is 27-23 on the road, while Baltimore is 57-46 overall and 29-20 at home.

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 68% of the betting public currently favors Baltimore. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most updated numbers.

MLB FREE PICK: Take the under. According to latest MLB trends, Boston is: 0-5 last 5 Under vs. a right-handed starter and 7-18-1 last 26 under in Lackey's starts with a total set of 9.0-10.5 and 5-15-1 last 21 under vs. American League East. Baltimore is: 0-4-1 last 5 under vs. Boston, 7-16-1 last 24 under as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 2-7-1 last 10 under with Tillman at home.

John Lackey (7-7, 2.95 ERA) is coming off a rocky start in his last game vs. the Yankees, allowing four runs in 6 1/3 innings against the Yankees. That would be normal for Lackey in the past, but this year, that's subpar. Before that, Lackey had a string of six straight starts where he allowed two runs or fewer and had pitched at least seven innings. In his last start against Baltimore, he allowed just two runs in seven innings on June 15.

Tillman (12-3, 3.84 ERA) has reached his potential as a 25-year old has allowed three or fewer earned runs in eight of his last nine starts. Against Texas on July 21, he allowed just two runs in eight innings. He has pitched well against Boston this season, allowing just two runs in two starts.  The Baltimore Orioles lost three straight games to Kansas City, as their bats are struggling. They put up just six runs in their last three games, which put them four games behind Boston and 3 1/2 games behind Tampa Bay in the American League East. Boston has also struggled against good pitching against the Rays, Yankees and Athletics. Expect a rare, low-scoring affair from Camden Yards with two quality right-handers on the mound.

 

FRIDAY MLB FREE PICK: RED SOX/ORIOLES UNDER 9

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