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Red Sox vs. Orioles Free Pick

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BALTIMORE, MD (ATS Consultants) - The  Orioles will look to pull off the upset as a home underdog tonight when they host the Red Sox at 7:05PM ET.

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ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Red Sox are -109 money line favorites versus the Orioles, who are +101 on the ML. The total is currently sitting at 9.5 runs and the pitching matchup will feature Felix Doubront versus Kevin Gausman.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Red Sox opened with odds of -103 but they've have climbed to -109, while the Orioles opened as -105 favorites and are now +101 underdogs. Boston heads into tonight's game with a 41-26 overall record and is 20-12 on the road, while Baltimore is 37-29 overall and 17-14 at home.

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 75% of the betting public currently favors Boston. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most updated numbers.

MLB FREE PICK: Take Baltimore. According to latest MLB trends, Boston is: 3-7 in Doubront's last 10 starts during game 1 of a series and 8-21 last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Baltimore is: 19-7 last 26 in series, 5-1 last 6 at home in series, 20-8 last 28 Thursday games, 11-4 last 15 on grass and 38-13 last 51 following a loss.

Baltimore won two of three in this series in early April  and has won seven of the last nine. Felix Doubront (4-3, 4.84 ERA) takes on rookie Kevin Gausman (0-3, 8.84 ERA). Doubront is 0-2 with a 3.13 ERA in six appearances and three starts vs. Baltimore. He is basically a six-inning pitcher, though he hasn't allowed over three runs since May 3, when he gave up six in 3 2/3 innings at Texas. Gausman has struggled on the road, but his one home start was outstanding. He allowed just one run in six innings against Detroit as the Orioles won 4-2, but he received a no-decision. Gausman has great stuff as the fourth overall pick in the 2011 draft and appears to be more comfortable at home. Boston could be fatigued after a tough series against Tampa Bay, which included a 14-inning win on Monday. Baltimore is a very patient team that will settle for walks and Doubront has struggled with his command this year, issuing 31 walks in 61 1/3 innings. That's not a good combination against a  team that averages 4.97 runs per game. The Red Sox travel to Camden Yards to take on Baltimore in Game 1 of their series at 7:05pmET on Thursday night.

MLB FREE PICK: BALTIMORE ORIOLES +101

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