Yankees vs. Rangers Prediction
Will the Yankees hand the Rangers their fifth consecutive loss when the two teams meet tonight at 8:05PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Yankees are -127 money line favorites over the Rangers, who have odds of +117 to pull off the upset at home. With Luis Severino set to face A.J. Griffin in the pitching matchup, the over/under sits at 9 runs.
Bet Tonight’s Yankees vs. Rangers Game
Severino is 0-2 with a 4.86 ERA but his 3.50 FIP and 2.86 xFIP paint a picture of good things to come. He’s experienced some poor batted-ball luck (.397 BABIP) to start the year, although his strikeout rate of 5.94 is contributed to that issue. This will be his first career start against the Rangers although he has pitched well on the road over his two seasons, posting a 2.70 ERA over 36.2 innings of work.
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Griffin is 2-0 on the year but he’s had a lot of batted-ball luck (.220 BABIP) over his 17 innings of work. His 3.18 ERA is inflated based on his 4.61 FIP and his 5.33 xFIP, and he too isn’t striking out nearly enough batters (6.35 K/9), while his walk rate is high at 4.24. In one start versus the Yankees, he’s 1-0 while pitching seven innings of no-hit ball.
OUR PREDICTION: The over is 5-1 in the Rangers’ last six games versus American League East teams and 7-2 in their last nine home games. The over is also 10-3 in their last 13 games during Game 2 of a series and 5-2 in their last seven home games versus a right-handed starter. The over has also cashed in seven of Manny Gonzalez’s last eight games behind home plate.
TUESDAY MLB PREDICTION: YANKEES/RANGERS OVER 9
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