NFL Free Pick: PIT/BAL

The biggest game of the AFC is in Maryland this week when the Baltimore Ravens host the Pittsburgh Steelers, who currently have a one-game lead over the Ravens in the AFC North.

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Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Ravens -2 point spread favorite. The over/under for this game has been set at 34.5 total points.

Key Trend: Pittsburgh is 4-2 against the spread in their last six games, while the over has hit in four of the Steelers’ last five games when playing Baltimore.

Key Stat: The Steelers are allowing just 14.1 points per game this year, while also holding opponents to only 168.9 passing yards and 73.0 rushing yards a game.

Game Outlook: This is going to be an absolute battle between two very physical teams. A lot of football purists are hopping on the Ravens’ bandwagon – and for good reason. Baltimore is playing outside football under rookie quarterback Joe Flacco, who has be more than impressive in his first year. But nobody is playing better defense right now than the Steelers. And in the second half of Pittsburgh’s win over the Ravens earlier this season, they flustered Flacco in the second half. The key will be whether or not Ben Roethlisberger and Willie Parker can have any success against a stingy Baltimore defense. Pittsburgh has had a ton of success late in games this year and the defense will keep them in it until the end. We feel great about taking a solid playoff – if not Super Bowl – team getting points.

Our Free NFL Pick for the Week 15 matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens game is

PITTSBURGH STEELERS

TheSpread.com Projected Final Score

Pittsburgh Steelers 20

Baltimore Ravens 16

We also predict that this game will GO OVER THE TOTAL (34.5 Sports Interaction.com) SET BY ODDSMAKERS

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Posted: 12/14/08 12:30PM ET

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