Patrick Mahomes SB54 Prop Predictions
Will Patrick Mahomes live up to the hype and post big passing and rushing numbers versus the 49ers in Super Bowl 54? Or is it beneficial for bettors to fade public perception when it comes to the most popular player playing in Miami tonight?
101 San Francisco 49ers (+1.5) at 102 Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5); o/u 54
6:30 p.m. ET, Sunday, February 2, 2020
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Chiefs are receiving 57% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl 54 Prop Bets
Total Completions: 25
Total Pass Attempts: 37.5
Passing Yards: 305.5
Touchdown Passes: 2.5
Will he throw an Interception: Yes (-120); No (+100)
Which Happens First: Touchdown (-300) or Interception (+250)
First Pass: Complete (-200) or Incomplete (+175)
Yards on First Completion: 9.5
Longest Completion: 40.5
Rushing Attempt: 5.5
Rushing Yards: 29.5
Rushing Touchdowns: Yes (+400); No (-500)
Mahomes completed 23-of-35 passes for 294 yards and three touchdowns in the Chiefs’ AFC title win over the Titans. He also added eight scrambles for 53 yards and a rushing score in the win. Versus Houston in the AFC Divisional round, the Chiefs signal-caller completed 23-of-35 passes for 321 yards and five touchdowns while rushing seven times for an additional 53 yards in the win.
While I do believe tonight’s game will result in a shootout and I do envision a scenario in which the Chiefs fall behind and have to rely on the 24-year-old’s arm to save them, I’m fading public perception tonight with Mahomes.
Over a much larger sample size during the regular season, Mahomes averaged 22.79 completions per game this year on 34.57 pass attempts. He also fell below 300 passing yards per game at 287.93 and below two touchdowns at 1.86.
It’s not surprising to see that oddsmakers have inflated the key props for the most popular player in the Super Bowl. While it’s a risk to take the under when it comes to any Mahomes prop, I’m siding with the numbers.
Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl 54 Prop Predictions:
UNDER 25 Total Completions (-110)
UNDER 37.5 Pass Attempts (-110)
UNDER 305.5 Passing Yards (-110)