Super Bowl MVP Predictions: 3 Options
If you’re interesting in betting the Super Bowl MVP prop odds for Sunday’s title clash between the Rams and Bengals, we only see three ways to go with your money.
Game Snapshot
101 Los Angeles Rams (-4.5) vs. 102 Cincinnati Bengals (+4.5); o/u 48.5
6:30 p.m. ET, Sunday, February 13, 2022
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
TV: NBC
Three options for Super Bowl MVP:
Option #1: Matthew Stafford (+125)
Is Stafford favorite to win MVP? Yes. Is this the most boring and predictable option? Yes. Are you slightly disappointed that you didn’t see Aaron Donald’s name or someone that would make you a ton of dough today? Probably. But if you want to actually win on this prop, Stafford is your best option. Out of the 56 previous Super Bowls, a quarterback won MVP 31 times. That’s a 55% winning percentage for the position, which is remarkable when you consider how many positions the award could go to over the past 56 years. While Rams head coach Sean McVay does want to stick with his rushing attack, the bottom line is that L.A. hasn’t been overly efficient this postseason when it has come to running the ball. Cam Akers and Sony Michel are fine backs, but it’s unlikely either goes off today in L.A. Thus, if you like the Rams to win, correlating that play with a Stafford MVP makes the most sense. (And hey, you’re still getting value at +125, even if Stafford isn’t the long shot you were hoping to see at the top of this list.)
Option #2: Joe Burrow (+230)
Is this the other obvious choice? Yes, but again: 55% of the MVPs over the past 56 Super Bowls have been handed to quarterbacks. It’s the same idea as above: If you believe the Bengals have a good shot of pulling off the upset tonight in L.A., then backing the Bengals and throwing money on Burrow to win the MVP makes sense. While Ja’Marr Chase or Joe Mixon could have big nights, how likely is it that one of those players out produces Burrow in the eyes of MVP voters? Not likely. And hey, if you do like the Bengals to win outright, taking them on the moneyline and sprinkling some cash on Burrow’s MVP odds would still net you a nice payday, even if you’re taking the obvious choice of QB to win the award.
Option #3: Cooper Kupp (+550)
Your three MVPs are likely to come from this list, period. Could Donald win the award if he sacks Burrow 19 times? Absolutely, but again, we’re playing the odds here. The award will likely go to one of the QBs but if you’re so inclined to take a long shot, skip the other players and go with Kupp. Out of the last 56 Super Bowls, 31 quarterbacks won the MVP, seven running backs and seven receivers. The last time a receiver won the MVP? 2019 when Julian Edelman of the Patriots took home the hardware when New England defeated…that’s right, the Rams. The media votes on the award and Kupp has become a media darling over the past few weeks. If he catches eight or nine passes for 100-plus yards and a touchdown or two, could those numbers out produce Stafford? Absolutely. So if you like the Rams tonight and you want to take a bigger risk for a bigger payout, Kupp to win MVP is your play.
