Steelers vs. Bengals Total Prediction
AFC North rivals will meet in Cincinnati on Sunday at 1:00 p.m. ET when the Bengals host the Steelers. With the total sitting at just 38, what’s the best play for bettors at that number?
255 Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5) at 256 Cincinnati Bengals (+6.5); O/U 38
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 24, 2019
Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Steelers are receiving 68% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Pittsburgh Steelers Fantasy Spin
JuJu Smith-Schuster (concussion) has been ruled out for the Steelers’ Week 12 matchup against the Bengals. Look for James Washington, Johnny Holton and Dionte Johnson to work in 3-WR sets. The Steelers have a pristine matchup against the Bengals’ 31st-ranked defense in pass DVOA. Still, the Steelers are one of just seven teams that has fed a player at least 10 targets in a single game on two or fewer occasions this season. The two instances featured Jaylen Samuels and Donte Moncrief (lol). Mason has averaged fewer than 6.5 yards per attempt in three consecutive games.
Cincinnati Bengals Fantasy Spin
Bengals WR Auden Tate (concussion) is questionable for Sunday’s matchup against the Steelers. The Bengals are all sorts of banged up at WR, as Tate (concussion, neck) could join A.J. Green (ankle) on the sideline this week. Stanley Morgan (illness, questionable) is the next man up, but Damion Willis should see some snaps as well if both Tate and AJG are ultimately sidelined. It’d be a lot easier to get behind any of the receivers in this offense as realistic fantasy options if Ryan Finley wasn’t under center. Overall, Finley’s average of 3.5 adjusted yards per attempt ranks 47th among 48 QBs with at least 50 pass attempts this season.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 7-1 in the Steelers’ last eight games coming off a loss and is 4-1 in their last five games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
The under is 4-1-1 in the Bengals’ last six games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
The under has been profitable in previous meetings between these two teams, cashing in six of the last eight meetings overall. The under is also 3-1-1 in the Bengals’ last five divisional games, is 4-1 in their last five games overall and is 8-1-2 in their last 11 conference matchups. On the other side, the under is 8-2 in the Steelers’ last 10 games versus AFC opponents, is 4-1 in their last five divisional games and is 37-14 in their last 51 road games. With how poorly Mason Rudolph played a week ago when Pittsburgh took the training wheels off and asked him to do more than just manage the game, I like the scoring to be limited since we’re not worried about the Bengals finding pay dirt that often.
NFL Week 12 Prediction: Steelers/Bengals UNDER 38