The NFL offseason delivered one of its most shocking moves when the Miami Dolphins released superstar receiver Tyreek Hill following a devastating knee injury. So where could the free-agent-to-be wind up playing in 2026? Let’s take a look at the odds.

Hill’s exit highlights the league’s ruthless financial reality. Even after producing two of the most explosive receiving seasons in NFL history during his first two years in Miami, a new regime chose long-term cap flexibility over loyalty to a veteran star.

Yet the intrigue around Hill’s future remains enormous. Even if he has lost a step, his game-breaking speed still separates him from most of the league—making him one of the most fascinating free-agent storylines heading into 2026.

Below is a full breakdown of the next-team betting market, the most logical landing spots, and where real value may exist.

Betting Favorites to Sign Tyreek Hill

Reunion Watch Leads the Board

• Kansas City Chiefs — 4/1

• Buffalo Bills — 5/1

• New York Giants — 6/1

• Denver Broncos — 7/1

• Green Bay Packers — 15/2 (+750)

Kansas City sitting atop the odds board tells the story. A reunion with Patrick Mahomes would instantly restore one of the most dangerous quarterback-receiver connections of the modern era.

Buffalo’s placement reflects a different logic: pairing Hill with Josh Allen would create arguably the league’s most explosive vertical passing attack.

Meanwhile, the Giants and Broncos represent teams willing to gamble on elite upside even with medical risk.

Early takeaway:
The market strongly favors contenders or quarterback-stable teams, not rebuilding franchises.

Mid-Tier Contenders With Real Upside

• San Francisco 49ers — 9/1

• Las Vegas Raiders — 10/1

• New England Patriots — 10/1

• Baltimore Ravens — 12/1

• Atlanta Falcons — 14/1

• Pittsburgh Steelers — 16/1

• Los Angeles Chargers — 18/1

This range may hold the true betting value.

San Francisco and Baltimore already feature playoff-caliber rosters where Hill would be a luxury final piece rather than a rebuild cornerstone.

New England and Las Vegas, on the other hand, signal organizational urgency—teams needing star power to accelerate offensive relevance.

Deep Long Shots Across the League

20/1 to 40/1 tier

• Tennessee Titans — 22/1

• Chicago Bears — 25/1

• Arizona Cardinals — 28/1

• Carolina Panthers — 28/1

• Cleveland Browns — 33/1

• Los Angeles Rams — 33/1

• Indianapolis Colts — 40/1

• New Orleans Saints — 40/1

• New York Jets — 40/1

• Washington Commanders — 40/1

These teams either lack cap flexibility, quarterback certainty, or contender status, making a Hill signing less likely despite attractive odds.

Extreme long shots (45/1 and beyond)

• Houston Texans — 45/1

• Seattle Seahawks — 45/1

• Jacksonville Jaguars — 50/1

• Philadelphia Eagles — 50/1

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — 50/1

• Dallas Cowboys — 66/1

• Detroit Lions — 66/1

• Minnesota Vikings — 66/1

• Cincinnati Bengals — 75/1

For contenders like Philadelphia or Cincinnati, the long odds reflect roster depth and cap priorities, not talent fit.

Best Betting Value on the Board

1. Chiefs (4/1) — Most logical football move

Familiar system, elite quarterback chemistry, and championship urgency make this the cleanest narrative fit.

2. Ravens (12/1) — Sneaky contender value

A dynamic run-heavy offense adding Hill’s speed could be league-altering at a strong price.

3. 49ers (9/1) — Championship-window swing

San Francisco consistently targets high-impact veterans when chasing a Super Bowl.

Final Outlook

Tyreek Hill’s release reshapes the 2026 offseason in a single move.

Despite injury concerns, elite speed never goes out of demand in today’s NFL—especially for contenders seeking one final offensive weapon.

And judging by the betting market, one storyline towers above the rest:

Don’t rule out a Hollywood-style return to Kansas City.

Responsible Gaming

For help and resources, visit our Responsible Gaming page or the National Council on Problem Gambling.

Affiliate Disclosure

We may receive affiliate commissions if you sign up through links on our site. Read our full Affiliate Disclosure.