NFL Championship Sunday Betting Trends: Eagles Struggle ATS as Playoff Favorites

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What do the betting trends say about this Sunday’s conference title games in Arrowhead Stadium and Lincoln Financial Field? Read on for our NFL Championship Sunday Betting Trends.

The Eagles are currently 6-point home favorites against their NFC East rivals the Commanders. As of this writing, the total currently sits at 48.

This will be the third time these two teams meet this season. The Eagles won the first meeting at Lincoln Financial Field, 26-18. They covered as a 4.5-point home favorite. The Commanders won the rematch 36-33 as a 4-point underdog in Washington despite turning the ball over five times. The under hit in the first meeting, while the over cashed in D.C.

The Commanders are 11-2 straight up in their last 13 conference games and have won five of their last six road games. The over is also 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams.

On the other side, the Eagles have won 14 out of their last 15 games overall and are 12-4 straight up against the Commanders in the previous 16 meetings. Philadelphia is 8-3 against the spread in its last 11 games and has won nine straight at home. The Eagles are 19-4 straight up in their last 23 home games.

That said, the Eagles are just 3-7 against the number in their last 10 playoff games when favored. They did cover versus the Packers as a 5.5-point home favorite in the Wildcard round. That said, they failed to cover as a 7.5-point home favorite versus the Rams in the Divisional round.

The Chiefs opened as 1.5-point home favorites versus the Bills in the AFC title game and that’s where the number currently sits. The total is currently 47.5 points. These two teams met in November and the Bills won and covered in a 30-21 victory at Highmark Stadium. It was the third time Buffalo has beaten Kansas City in the previous four meetings. The lone exception was in last year’s playoffs, when the Chiefs beat the Bills 27-24 in Buffalo to advance to the AFC title game.

The Bills have won just twice as a playoff underdog since 1980. The first time was in 1993 at Pittsburgh and the second was last week versus the Ravens. They’re 21-5 straight up in their last 26 games and are 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 meetings with Kansas City.

The over is 5-1 in the Bills’ last six road games and is 8-3 in their last 11 games at Kansas City. The over is 12-5 in the Bills’ last 17 games as an underdog, but the under is 9-2 in the Chiefs’ last 11 games played in the month of January. The Chiefs have played five straight unders as playoff home chalk.  

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