Sunday’s early window delivers an intriguing mismatch as the visiting New York Jets try to derail the unbeaten Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Tampa. This game has all the makings of a one-sided home spot on paper. Yet divisional edges, weather and late-week roster shifts can swing a close number.
Game Day Information
- Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
- Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
- Location: Raymond James Stadium — Tampa, FL
- TV: FOX
Betting Odds & Public Betting
- Spread: Jets +6.5 / Buccaneers -6.5
- Moneyline: Jets +260 / Buccaneers -320
- Total (O/U): 43.5
Place a wager at Bovada.lv
Track live public splits on the NFL Public Betting Chart
Key Notes & Storylines
- Home-field advantage: Tampa Bay is sharp at Raymond James. They enter this game with momentum after a strong start to the season.
- Jets’ quarterback outlook: New York’s signal-callers have taken hits this month. Backup/bridge QB play changes the ceiling of the offense. That matters when sizing the spread.
- Explosive-play differential: The most likely path for New York is via a handful of chunk plays. If those don’t happen early, the Buccaneers should control pace and the scoreboard.
- Special teams & field position: Hidden yardage on returns and the kicking game often swing single-digit lines in this matchup type.
- Monitor late-week reports: Weather and any gameday scratches can move this line quickly. Grab the number you want early if you have an edge.
Last Three Meetings
- Dec 5, 2021: Buccaneers 28, Jets 24
- Nov 14, 2020: Buccaneers 24, Jets 17
- Oct 18, 2018: Buccaneers 27, Jets 23
Recent matchups favor Tampa Bay, but many of these games were one-possession affairs. This context is useful when deciding whether to back the dog with +6.5.
Prediction
Pick — Buccaneers -6.5
This is a single-ticket, confident call: back Tampa Bay -6.5. The Buccaneers are the stronger team at home. They’re playing with momentum, and the Jets’ likely quarterback depth issues reduce New York’s ceiling. In a game that looks prone to Tampa Bay controlling both possessions and tempo, the Buccaneers should have enough margin to cover a 6.5-point spread. Take the home favorite and size the stake as a core play.
Play: Buccaneers -6.5
Lock in the number or shop the market:
👉 Bet on Jets vs Buccaneers at Bovada.lv
👉 Track public splits and market movement on the NFL Public Betting Chart