Jaguars at Texans Spread Prediction
Apparently, nobody wants to win the AFC South but perhaps football fans will get more clarity on the division Sunday in Jacksonville, where the Jaguars will host the Houston Texans at 1:00 p.m. ET. Will the Jags snap their losing streak?
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 21
TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, Florida
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Jaguars are 3.5-point favorites to beat the Texans. The total, meanwhile, sits at 41.5 points. As of this writing, 54% of the public betting tickets are on the Jaguars to cover the point spread.
DeAndre Hopkins (foot) wasn’t listed on the Texans’ final injury report for Week 7 against the Jaguars. Hopkins worried us a little with Thursday’s DNP, though it looks like he was just getting a maintenance day. Nuk draws a tough matchup against Jalen Ramsey this week, though obviously benching him in season-long leagues is not an option.
According to NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport, Carlos Hyde has a “chance” to make his Jaguars debut against the Texans in Week 7. It’s been a whirlwind 48 hours for Hyde, who arrived in Jacksonville around midnight on Friday, passed his physical Saturday morning, then attended the team’s walkthrough later that afternoon. Hyde reportedly got a “crash course” on the team’s playbook, though obviously if he sees the field Sunday it won’t be for more than a handful of snaps. T.J. Yeldon is still safe to fire up as a borderline RB1 in all formats.
NFL Betting Trends
The road team is 10-3-1 against the spread in the last 14 meetings between these two teams.
The Jaguars are just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven home games versus the Texans.
The Jaguars are scuffling big time and it’s not just Blake Bortles that has killed them in recent weeks. The defense has been horrendous the past two weeks, surrendering a whopping amount of yards and points to Kansas City (understandable) and Dallas (not so understandable). The spread in this game moved from Jacksonville -4.5 all the way down to -3.5. While sharp betters might be hopping on Houston’s bandwagon, I see a solid buyback opportunity on the Jags. In my models, I have them listed as a 6-point favorite and I believe they circle the wagons and produce a big win against a divisional foe. I refuse to believe Jacksonville’s defense suddenly forgot how to play and with Deshaun Watson constantly running for his life behind Houston’s horrendous offensive line, I’ll lay the points.
NFL Week 7 Prediction: Jacksonville Jaguars -3.5