Giants vs. Bears ATS Prediction
The struggling Bears have an opportunity to take out their frustrations on the 2-8 Giants, but Chicago is also laying six points as a home favorite. Given Mitchell Trubisky’s issues, are the Giants the play as a road underdog on Sunday?
257 New York Giants (+6) at 258 Chicago Bears (-6); O/U 40.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 24, 2019
Solider Field, Chicago, IL
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Giants are receiving 57% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
New York Giants Fantasy Spin
Sterling Shepard (concussion) wasn’t listed on the Giants’ final injury report for Week 12 against the Bears. CB Janoris Jenkins and LT Nate Solder were also left off the final report, suggesting all three have cleared the concussion protocol. This will be Shepard’s first game action since Week 5. He was a target hog early in the year (nine targets in three of his four appearances), though much of his production came while Golden Tate was serving a four-game suspension. Even with Tate a threat to his workload, Shepard should still warrant WR3 consideration in most formats.
Chicago Bears Fantasy Spin
Mitchell Trubisky (hip) wasn’t listed on the Bears’ final injury report. Trubisky was never thought to be at real risk of missing Sunday’s matchup against the Giants and practiced in full all week. It’s a great matchup against the Giants’ porous secondary, but Trubisky has been anyone’s idea of a bottom five QB all season. Overall, his average of 5.6 adjusted yards per attempt ranks 34th among 35 QBs with at least 100 pass attempts through 11 weeks. Trubisky’s reluctance to run the ball gives him an extremely low floor despite the decent spot.
NFL Betting Trends
The Giants are 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 road games but have failed to cover in five of their last six games overall.
The Bears have covered the spread in 11 of their last 15 games against an opponent with a losing record but are just 1-5 against the number in their last six games overall.
The Giants are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against the Bears, the road team is 7-2 against the number in the last nine meetings between these two teams, and the underdog has covered in six of the last eight games between New York and Chicago. While the Giants have struggled defensively all season, but I don’t trust that Trubisky will take advantage of New York’s weak defensive unit. Granted, the Bears could shut down Daniel Jones and make things problematic for New York, but that unit eventually wilted last Sunday night in L.A. after being on the field all game. If that happens again, I’ll love having the six points in my back pocket with the Giants.
NFL Week 7 Prediction: New York Giants +6