Cowboys vs. Rams Total Prediction
After getting past the Seahawks Wild Card Weekend, the Cowboys will advance to the Divisional round Saturday night when they visit the Rams at 8:15 p.m. ET. With the total sitting in the high 40s, will the over cash in this matchup of four vs. two?
303 Dallas Cowboys at 304 Los Angeles Rams
8:15 p.m. ET, Saturday, January 12, 2019
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Rams are 7-point favorites to beat the Cowboys. The total, meanwhile, sits at 49.5 points. As of this writing, 56% of the public betting tickets are on the Colts to cover the point spread.
Cowboys LG Xavier Su’a-Filo (ankle) did not practice Tuesday. Su’a-Filo sat out the Wild Card win with an ankle injury, and he is not starting this week on the right foot. Rookie Connor Williams got the start at left guard with Su’a-Filo out last week.
Los Angeles Rams
Todd Gurley (knee) was limited at Wednesday’s practice. Gurley sat out the Rams’ final two regular season games and also had the bye week to rest his injured knee. Touchdown Todd should be out there Saturday night against Dallas, though it’s hard to say how effective he’ll be playing at less than 100 percent. The threat of a reduced workload makes Gurley a riskier-than-usual DFS play this week, particularly at his gaudy $9,000 price tag on FanDuel.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 5-1 in the Cowboys’ last six games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
The over is 9-4 in the Rams’ last 13 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
The Cowboys are who they are offensively and despite Dak Prescott’s heroics late in the Seattle game, this is an offense that runs through Ezekiel Elliott. Dallas knows it has to fed Zeke in order to upset the Rams and what other game plan would they have offensively? The Rams rank 28th in in run defense DVOA and the only way to slow down Aaron Donald (if that’s even possible) is to keep the ball on the ground. Sticking with their ball-control offense also limits possessions for Sean McVay and the Rams. The under is 22-7 in the Cowboys’ last 29 road games.
NFL Divisional Round Predictions: Cowboys/Rams under 49.5