Bears vs Ravens Pick: Even with Lamar back, will Baltimore struggle?

Ravens vs Vikings Picks — Expert Plays & Odds (Week 11) Ravens vs Vikings Picks — Expert Plays & Odds (Week 11)
Bears vs Ravens looks like one of Week 8’s more intriguing matchups: Chicago’s young roster and turnover-heavy defense travels to Baltimore, where the Ravens are wrestling with injuries to key playmakers and the lingering question of how healthy their offense will be. The bookmakers have Chicago at +6 with the total around 49.5, which sets up several playable angles. Below you’ll find clean game info, the consolidated betting block, focused betting trends (pulled from the matchup page), injury and weather notes that matter, and our straight, publisher-ready pick with a score projection.
🔔 Follow updates: Twitter/X · Bluesky · Facebook

Game Day Information

  • Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025

  • Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET (early window)

  • Location: M&T Bank Stadium — Baltimore, MD

  • TV: FOX

💸 Compare live numbers before you bet → Shop lines now

Bears vs Ravens Betting Odds & Public Betting

  • Spread (market): Bears +6 / Ravens -6

  • Moneyline (approx): Bears +210 / Ravens -250 (book-dependent)

  • Total (O/U): 49.5

Place your wager at Bovada.lv or shop the best line across books.

Key Notes & Storylines

  • Ravens’ health question: Baltimore has been managing injuries to impact players — the QB situation/timing and availability of top defenders have fluctuated. When the Ravens are full-strength they can score quickly; when they’re piecing things together the offense struggles to sustain drives.

  • Bears’ turnover identity: Chicago’s defense has created a high number of takeaways this season, keeping games close and giving its offense better field position. That turnover margin can erase some home-field edges.

  • Matchup battle: The game will likely hinge on the Ravens’ ability to protect the passer and the Bears’ capacity to convert on short fields. If Baltimore’s offensive line isn’t at full strength, that pushes the practical value to the visitor.

  • Game script scenarios: At +6 the Bears have multiple cover routes — an outright upset, a one-score loss, or even a late-game swing that leaves the final margin inside six. This is a classic number to buy for the road underdog when the favorite is dealing with roster noise.

Injury Report + Weather (what to monitor)

Bears (notable practice-week notes):

  • RB/skill availability: Monitor any limited tags for Chicago’s lead backs and top receivers — if Chicago is missing offensive playmakers it reduces their ceiling, but their defense remains the main catalyst.

  • Offensive line: Any late-week OL absences would make Chicago’s passing game more volatile.

Ravens (notable practice-week notes):

  • Lamar Jackson (hamstring/limited work): He’s been doing individual work while ramping back into full team reps — his mobility and timing are the biggest factors for Baltimore’s ceiling.

  • Marlon Humphrey (illness/calf), Kyle Hamilton (limited): The status of these defenders matters — if either is limited or ruled out, Chicago’s chunk-play potential in the passing game increases.

  • Offensive-line pieces: Watch for any starting OL listed as limited; protection issues materially reduce Baltimore’s scoring efficiency.

Weather (Baltimore forecast):
Mild October conditions — temperatures in the mid-to-upper 50s°F with light winds and low precipitation probability. Weather is unlikely to be a decisive factor.

Bears vs Ravens Prediction

Pick — Bears +6

Why:

  1. Value on the half-dozen: +6 is a clean number for a road underdog with a turnover-creating defense — it buys you room for the most likely one-possession outcomes and a push-avoid cushion.

  2. Ravens’ roster noise: Baltimore’s limited practice participation from top playmakers and any lingering QB mobility concerns depress their offensive ceiling and increase variance. When favorites are functionally below 100% the market sometimes overprices the home side.

  3. Short-field upside for Chicago: The Bears have repeatedly turned opponent mistakes into points. When that happens at M&T, the scoreboard tightens quickly and a single late field goal changes outcomes.

  4. Historical performance in similar spots: Favorites in the 5–7 range with midweek injury uncertainty and sizable public backing have underperformed, making the visiting dog a reasonable contrarian play.

Score Prediction: Ravens 27, Bears 23 — Bears +6 covers

💸 Lock best prices across books → Shop lines now

Responsible Gaming

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit NCPGambling.org. For site policies and tools, see our Responsible Gaming page. Set limits and play responsibly.

Affiliate Disclosure

Some links on this page are affiliate links. We may earn a commission if you sign up through our partners at no additional cost to you. Learn more in our Affiliate Disclosure.