Ravens vs. Browns Week 14 Prediction
AFC North rivals clash in Cleveland for Monday Night Football when the Browns host the Ravens at 8:15 p.m. ET. With the spread moving slightly from Baltimore -2.5 to Cleveland +3, are the Ravens the smart play tonight?
179 Baltimore Ravens (-3) at 180 Cleveland Browns (+3); o/u 45.5
8:15 p.m. ET, Monday, December 14, 2020
Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Baltimore Ravens DFS Spin
Lamar Jackson completed 12-of-17 passes for 107 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception in the Ravens' Week 13 win over the Cowboys. Jackson also added an impressive 94 rushing yards and a score on 13 carries. After months of inconsistent play and a week on the COVID-19 list, Jackson looked more confident despite missing Mark Andrews, Willie Snead, starting offensive linemen, and others. Jackson's highlight play was a QB keeper that went for a 37-yard rushing touchdown. His two passing touchdowns both came from 20-plus yards out thanks to non-stop blown assignments by the Cowboys defense. Jackson could've had a bigger day as a passer if he was simply more accurate. His mechanics seem to be an issue. With that said, Jackson has a cupcake schedule ahead of the fantasy playoffs and tonight's game was a positive overall. Jackson will be a QB1 against the Browns.
Cleveland Browns DFS Spin
Baker Mayfield's yards per attempt and completion rate have spiked on play action passes this season. The Browns used play action to perfection in their Week 13 drubbing of the Titans. Tennessee defenders continually bit on play action, leaving Cleveland pass catchers wide open. Mayfield has completed 66.1 percent of his play action passes -- 6 percent higher than without play action -- and his ten yards per attempt on play action is 3.9 higher than it is on straight drop backs, per Pro Football Focus. The Browns have used play action at the fifth highest rate through Week 13. Eager to stop the Browns' rushing attack, opposing defenses have been caught off guard in recent weeks. It's paid off beautifully for fantasy managers who have streamed Mayfield.
Ravens vs. Browns Betting Prediction
The Ravens have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 meetings with the Browns and are 9-2-1 against the number in their last 12 trips to Cleveland. The road team in this series is also 15-6-1 at the betting window in the last 22 meetings between these two teams, while the Ravens are a perfect 6-0 against the spread in their last six games played in December. Baltimore is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 road games and 6-1 against the spread in its last seven divisional matchups.
On the other side, the Browns are 1-5 against the spread in their last six games versus conference foes, are 8-24-2 ATS in their last 34 games when facing an opponent with a winning record and are 7-19 against the spread in their last 26 games as a home dog.
NFL WEEK 14 BETTING PREDICTION: BALTIMORE RAVENS -3