Chiefs vs. Broncos Pick

Chiefs vs. Broncos Week 12 Picks: Will the under cash in Denver? 11/27/16

Will the under cash for bettors this Sunday night when the Broncos host the Chiefs at 8:30PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Broncos are 3.5-point home favorites versus the Chiefs while the over/under currently sits at 39.5 points. While the point spread hasn't moved in this game, the over/under has dropped a full point down from 40.5 to 39.5.

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The Chiefs had their five-game winning streak snapped last Sunday in a 19-17 loss to the Buccaneers as a 7-point home favorite. The defeat dropped Kansas City's record to 7-3 on the year and 4-6 against the spread. The Chiefs are trying to keep pace in an ultra-competitive AFC West, which is currently led by the Raiders at 8-2. The Chiefs are currently tied with the Broncos at 7-3.

The Broncos will be fresh for Sunday night after having their bye last week. In their last game, they blocked an extra point and returned it for the game-winning score in a two-point win over the Saints in New Orleans. That win was Denver's third in four games and the successful cover was the team's third over that same span. As previously mentioned, the Broncos are tied with the Chiefs at 7-3 on the year but unlike Kansas City, which is 4-6 at the betting window this season, Denver is 7-3 against the spread in 2016.

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OUR PREDICTION: Both of these teams are getting healthier on defense and neither have explosive offenses, so Sunday night should be low-scoring in Denver. The under is 3-0-2 in the last five meetings between these two teams in Denver and is 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings overall. The under is also 5-2 in Denver's last seven games overall and is 11-5-1 in the Broncos' last 17 home games. On the other side, the under has cashed in four of the Chiefs' last five road games, is 5-1 in their last six games versus AFC opponents, and is 4-1-1 in their last six games in November.

 

NFL WEEK 12 PREDICTION: CHIEFS/BRONCOS UNDER 39.5

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