Cowboys vs. Patriots Total Prediction
One of the games of Week 12 in the NFL will take place in Foxborough on Sunday afternoon when the Patriots host the Cowboys at 4:25 p.m. ET. With the total sitting at 45, what’s the best play for bettors when it comes to the over/under?
269 Dallas Cowboys (+6) at 270 New England Patriots (-6); O/U 45
4:25 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 22
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Patriots are receiving 57% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Dallas Cowboys Fantasy Spin
Amari Cooper (knee) wasn't listed on the Cowboys' final injury report. Cooper is reportedly playing through the pain and wound up posting a pedestrian 55% snap rate in Week 11. The Cowboys did force feed their No. 1 WR eight targets when he was on the field, but stud Lions CB Darius Slay proved to be up to the challenge and limited Cooper to a 3-38-0 performance. Still, it's impossible to trust Cooper as a true WR1 in this spot due to both the potential for limited snaps and more importantly the matchup against stud Patriots CB Stephon Gilmore. The Patriots have allowed fewer than 200 passing yards in all but two games this season.
New England Patriots Fantasy Spin
NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports Tom Brady (right elbow, questionable) is expected to play Sunday. Brady wasn't listed on the injury report until Friday, but Rapoport reports this is "more managing the elbow and taking care of it than anything." The bigger issue for Brady at the moment is his banged up group of WRs, as each of Phillip Dorsett (concussion), Mohamed Sanu (ankle) and Julian Edelman (shoulder) are listed as questionable. Dorsett and Edelman are tentatively expected to play through the pain, but this 2019 version of the Patriots offense isn't the same world-beating group as we've seen in past years.
NFL Betting Trends
The over is 10-1 in the Cowboys’ last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
The under is 16-6 in the Patriots’ last 22 games overall.
Brady showed frustration with the Pats offense after last Sunday’s 17-10 win over the Eagles. I don’t see how that unit gets better in only a week. Brady looks off, his offensive line isn’t playing as well as what we’re accustomed to seeing and now Mohamed Sanu has an ankle injury and might not play. The Cowboys have a ton of speed and athleticism in their front seven and should contain Brady and Co. despite being susceptible the last two weeks in their defensive backfield. Plus, as well as Dak Prescott is playing, the Patriots defense has been excellent. This should be a low-scoring game.
NFL Week 12 Prediction: Cowboys/Patriots UNDER 45