Colts vs. Jaguars Spread Prediction
While the Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts appear to be dead at 3-5, one of these AFC South teams could still turn around their season if they get hot. Thus, it’s a must-win for these divisional rivals today at 1:00 p.m. ET. Are the Colts the best bet as a small favorite?
263 Jacksonville Jaguars at 264 Indianapolis Colts
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 11
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Colts are 3-point favorites to beat the Jaguars. The total, meanwhile, sits at 46.5 points. As of this writing, 52% of the public betting tickets are on the Colts to cover the point spread.
Jaguars LB Telvin Smith (shoulder) is questionable for Week 10 against the Colts. Smith appeared to pick the injury up during practice this week, but he was able to get in limited sessions on Thursday and Friday, suggesting he will play. The Jaguars need Smith in what is almost a must-win game against the Colts.
Ryan Grant (ankle) is questionable for Week 10 against Jacksonville. Grant is on track to return after missing the last two games. It's an upgrade to Andrew Luck's supporting cast. Grant will slot in behind T.Y. Hilton and Eric Ebron for targets.
NFL Betting Trends
The Jaguars are a perfect 6-0 against the spread in their last six games versus the Colts and 8-3 against the number in their last 11 games in Indianapolis.
The favorite is 11-4 against the spread in the last 15 games between these two teams. The Colts are also 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games played in November.
Both of these teams are 3-5 on the season and both are coming off a bye so there’s no advantage from an intangible standpoint, outside of homefield advantage for the Colts, obviously. (Then again, homefield advantage hasn’t matter for Indy when playing Jacksonville, as evidence of the Jags’ ATS record against the Colts.) I’m going to simply things and break this matchup down to this: Andrew Luck is in the midst of a “Comeback Player of the Year” season while the leash for Blake Bortles gets shorter by the week. Not to mention, Bortles now has an injury to his left non-throwing shoulder and while he’s still expected to play today, I’m not going to over-think this spot. I’ll lay the points and fade a team that is teetering on self-destruction.
NFL Week 10 Prediction: Indianapolis Colts -3